Səbail vs Neftchi Baku: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Azerbaijan Premier League Səbail - Neftchi Baku
Result
1:2
16/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AZERBAIJAN: Premier League - Round 27
  • Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)
Səbail - Neftchi Baku - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
712
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
46
Corner Kicks
70
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Yellow Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Ozobic F. ,
  • 29', 0 - 2, Camalov E. ,
  • 38', Abdullazada R. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 2, Abdullazada R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Alex Fernandes , Safarov E. ,
  • 57', Ozobic F. , Mammadov M. ,
  • 57', Abbasov M. , Nshuti I. ,
  • 58', Gomis D. , Maddi ,
  • 68', Muradov I. 🟨,
  • 70', Muradov I. , Quliyev N. ,
  • 72', Salyanskiy A. , Sambou B. ,
  • 80', Nabiyev F. , Mammadov O. ,
  • 80', Ahmadov S. , Rustamov E. ,
  • 85', Ohori R. , Conteh A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Səbail
22.5%
Draw
29%
Neftchi Baku
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.6% 27.9% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2% 27.3% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neftchi Baku might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neftchi Baku could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Səbail - Neftchi Baku Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.05
    (4.87)
    3.14
    (3.25)
    1.88
    (1.69)
    9.9%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Səbail - Neftchi Baku?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Səbail won 0.
    • Səbail is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Neftchi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Neftchi have a series of home games.
    • In this match Neftchi is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Səbail won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 10:45 (average 0.5:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Səbail won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5:22 (average 0.5:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Səbail - Neftchi Baku were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Neftchi Baku - Səbail 3:1
    10.08.2024 Səbail - Neftchi Baku 1:1
    18.05.2024 Səbail - Neftchi Baku 0:3
    15.03.2024 Neftchi Baku - Səbail 3:0
    20.10.2023 Səbail - Neftchi Baku 2:4
    Latest results of Səbail
    09.03.2025 Zira - Səbail 1:0
    03.03.2025 Səbail - Shamakhi 0:2
    27.02.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Səbail 3:1
    22.02.2025 Araz Naxçıvan - Səbail 0:0
    17.02.2025 Səbail - Sabah 0:0
    Latest results of Neftchi Baku
    10.03.2025 Neftchi Baku - Turan Tovuz 1:1
    05.03.2025 Kapaz - Neftchi Baku 1:0
    28.02.2025 Neftchi Baku - Kapaz 1:0
    21.02.2025 Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit 1:0
    Azerbaijan Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Qarabag ✔ 33255380:196180
    2Zira ✔ 33214856:263067
    3Araz331413633:26755
    4Turan331213839:37249
    5Sabah Baku34917848:45344
    6Neftci Baku338131234:47-1337
    7Shamakhi34991632:44-1236
    8Sumqayit33861927:50-2330
    9Kapaz33781827:58-3129
    10Sabail334101927:51-2422

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ I Liqa

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Qarabag is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Zira is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Səbail - Neftchi Baku?
    It is being streamed on channel
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
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