Səbail vs Gabala: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Azerbaijan Premier League Səbail - Gabala
Result
2:3
06/05/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AZERBAIJAN: Premier League - Round 33
Səbail - Gabala - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 14', Ochigava Z. 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 0, Ramalingom A. (Pen),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Khalaila O. ,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Allach A. ,
  • 40', 2 - 2, Pedro N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', 2 - 3, Khalaila O. (Pen),
  • 60', Pana , Maddi ,
  • 60', Abdullazada R. , Nabiyev Y. ,
  • 62', Safarov E. 🟨,
  • 66', Bauque C. , Aouacheria B. ,
  • 67', Lugasi Y. 🟨,
  • 75', Lugasi Y. , Masika A. ,
  • 75', Allouch S. , Abdullayev S. ,
  • 81', Allach A. , Akakpo Y. ,
  • 81', Shahniyarov S. , Mammadov A. ,
  • 84', Ramazanov I. 🟨,
  • 84', Ramalingom A. , Mehremic A. ,
  • 90+2', Safarov E. , Suleymanov E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Səbail
48.1%
Draw
26.3%
Gabala
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 29% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 25.2% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Səbail that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Səbail - Gabala Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.12)
    3.46
    (3.19)
    3.55
    (3.42)
    9.9%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Gabala is Relegated to I Liqa
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Səbail won 3.
    • Recent matches Səbail is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gabala has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Gabala could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Səbail is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Səbail won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 26-35.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Səbail won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-12.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Səbail - Gabala were as follows:
    03.03.2024 Gabala - Səbail 2:3
    15.12.2023 Səbail - Gabala 3:0
    07.10.2023 Gabala - Səbail 0:1
    01.05.2023 Gabala - Səbail 4:2
    18.04.2023 Gabala - Səbail 3:2
    Latest results of Səbail
    27.04.2024 Sabah - Səbail 2:0
    21.04.2024 Araz Naxçıvan - Səbail 0:2
    14.04.2024 Səbail - Kapaz 3:3
    06.04.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Səbail 4:2
    30.03.2024 Səbail - Turan Tovuz 1:1
    Latest results of Gabala
    28.04.2024 Gabala - Kapaz 0:1
    24.04.2024 Gabala - Zira 0:2
    20.04.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Gabala 2:2
    13.04.2024 Gabala - Turan Tovuz 1:2
    07.04.2024 Zira - Gabala 4:0
    Azerbaijan Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Qarabag36285386:196789
    2Zira36235859:273274
    3Araz361513834:29558
    4Turan361413945:39655
    5Sabah Baku361018850:46448
    6Neftci Baku3610131339:49-1043
    7Shamakhi36991832:46-1436
    8Sumqayit36962131:53-2233
    9Kapaz36882028:65-3732
    10Sabail364102228:59-3122

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ I Liqa

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