Rubin Kazan vs Orenburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Russian Premier League Rubin Kazan - Orenburg
Result
4:2
24/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 30
Rubin Kazan - Orenburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.451.70
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
2018
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
76% (233/306)79% (270/342)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
2.451.70
xG on target (xGOT)
3.071.83
Total shots
2018
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1411
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
3318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
158
Passes
76% (233/306)79% (270/342)
Long passes
41% (22/54)51% (29/57)
Passes in final third
60% (58/97)74% (100/136)
Crosses
36% (5/14)29% (8/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.28
Throw-ins
1624
Fouls
815
Tackles
67% (6/9)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4543
Clearances
3732
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.833.07
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Shabanhaxhaj D. ,
  • 7', 2 - 0, Daku M. , Shabanhaxhaj D. (A),
  • 11', 2 - 1, Marin J. , Mansilla B. (A),
  • 18', Mikhailov Y. 🟨,
  • 22', 2 - 2, Mansilla B. ,
  • 24', 3 - 2, Shabanhaxhaj D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mikhailov Y. , Baranovsky A. ,
  • 56', Shabanhaxhaj D. 🟨,
  • 57', Prokhin D. 🟨,
  • 61', Hodza V. 🟨,
  • 63', Malykh A. , Karatas K. ,
  • 64', Hodza V. , Ivanov O. ,
  • 64', Zotov A. , Jocic B. ,
  • 73', Gritsaenko A. , Ashurmatov R. ,
  • 73', Rozhkov I. , Bezrukov R. ,
  • 74', Marin J. , Gurluk E. ,
  • 74', Savelyev M. , Cuero Palacio J. R. ,
  • 74', Karatas K. 🟨,
  • 80', Vada V. , Vasiljev N. ,
  • 83', Rybchinskiy D. , Saharkhizan S. ,
  • 87', Kasimov A. 🟨,
  • 88', 4 - 2, Jocic B. ,
  • 90', Saharkhizan S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rubin Kazan
53.7%
Draw
24%
Orenburg
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 25.4% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 25.3% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Rubin Kazan - Orenburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.81)
    4
    (3.88)
    4.31
    (4.9)
    4.2%
    (1.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Orenburg?
  • Users Predictions: Rubin Kazan will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
    • Orenburg is Relegated to FNL
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Rubin is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G. (Injury) Moskvichev B. (Knee Injury) Tataev A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Rubin: Iwu U. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Orenburg were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 1:2
    08.04.2024 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 3:0
    30.07.2023 Rubin Kazan - Orenburg 1:1
    Latest results of Rubin Kazan
    17.05.2025 Khimki - Rubin Kazan 3:2
    11.05.2025 Rubin Kazan - Rostov 1:0
    03.05.2025 Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan 2:1
    27.04.2025 Rubin Kazan - Fakel 2:1
    Latest results of Orenburg
    17.05.2025 Orenburg - Krasnodar 1:2
    10.05.2025 Orenburg - Khimki 1:1
    27.04.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg 2:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Akhmat GroznyUral2 : 0, 1 : 2
    2Pari NNSochi1 : 3, 2 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Rubin Kazan - Orenburg?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Igra, Match TV
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