Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rostov: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Russian Cup
Soccer Russian Cup Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov
Result
0:2
30/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Russian Cup - Regions Path - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Moskalev V. (Rus)
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
06
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
510
Shots on target
06
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
52
Free Kicks
1713
Goalkeeper Saves
40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', Shchetinin K. 🟨,
  • 4', Tiknizyan N. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Osipenko M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Suleymanov T. ↓, Vorobyev D. ↑,
  • 48', Rakov V. 🟨,
  • 54', Sarveli V. ↓, Sevikyan E. ↑,
  • 54', Rakov V. ↓, Samoshnikov I. ↑,
  • 59', Kuchaev K. 🟨,
  • 63', Karpukas A. ↓, Godyaev D. ↑,
  • 64', Kuchaev K. ↓, Komarov I. ↑,
  • 71', 🟨,
  • 76', Samoshnikov I. 🟨,
  • 79', Shantaliy D. 🟨,
  • 81', Ignatov G. ↓, Langovich A. ↑,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Golenkov E. ⚽, Shchetinin K. (A),
  • 90', Golenkov E. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
  • 90', Samoshnikov I. ↓, Nenakhov M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Moscow
38.5%		Draw
28.6%		Rostov
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 25.1% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 24.9% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Moscow's form might have worsened.
  • Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rostov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rostov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.43 ↑
    (1.85)    		 3.26 ↓
    (3.82)    		 2.84 ↓
    (4.16)    		 7%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv won 4.
    • Recent matches Lokomotiv is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).
    • Rostov is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
    • Lokomotiv could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.
    • Lokomotiv will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:28 (average 1.9:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12 (average 2.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1
    23.10.2024 Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow 2:3
    25.08.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov 3:2
    30.07.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov 1:0
    06.05.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov 1:0
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
    26.04.2025 Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Pari NN 3:0 ✺
    15.04.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny 2:1
    12.04.2025 Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:0
    05.04.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Rostov
    26.04.2025 Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Fakel - Rostov 0:2 ✺
    16.04.2025 Zenit - Rostov 2:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Rostov 2:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Rostov - Spartak Moscow 0:3 ✺
    Draw
    Regions Path

    1/32-finals
    1Veles MoscowBye
    2Znamya NoginskKolomna
    3KosmosBye
    42DrotsVladimir
    5KalugaBye
    6Amkal MoscowKvant
    7Salyut-BelgorodBye
    8ByeRyazan
    9MuromBye
    10FK Shumbrat SaranskKristall MEZ Borisoglebsk
    11Spartak TambovBye
    12ByeLipetsk
    13Broke BoysOryol
    14ByeKursk
    15D. BryanskBye
    16ByeSaturn Ramenskoye
    17PenzaBye
    18ByeFK Strogino Moscow
    19Volgar-AstrakhanBye
    20ByeChertanovo M.
    21RWChallengeZvezda St. Peterburg
    22LeningradetsCherepovets
    23LeningradetsBye
    24KristallLuki-Energiya
    25Dynamo VologdaBye
    26ByeDynamo Petersburg
    27TekstilshtikBye
    28ByeTver
    29KirovBye
    30FK FankomSokol Kazan
    31KhimikBye
    32ByeAmkar
    33TyumenBye
    34NostaIlpar FC
    35MiassBye
    36ByeVolna Nizhegorodskaya
    38Ulan UdeIrkutsk
    40Anri VladivostokKDV Tomsk
    41OmskBye
    42Temp BarnaulUralets Nizhny Tagil
    43Znamya TrudaBye
    44ByeDynamo Barnaul
    45Legion MakhachkalaBye
    46ByeAlania Vladikavkaz
    47AstrakhanBye
    48ByeFK Pobeda
    49MashukBye
    50ByeSpartak Nalchik
    51KholdingBye
    52ByeNart Cherkessk
    53KubanBye
    54PSK Dinskoy rayonMaykop
    55Dynamo StavropolBye
    56ByeAngust Nazran

    1/16-finals
    1Veles MoscowTBD #2
    2KosmosTBD #4
    3KalugaTBD #6
    4Salyut-BelgorodRyazan
    5MuromTBD #10
    6Spartak TambovLipetsk
    7TBD #13Kursk
    8D. BryanskSaturn Ramenskoye
    9PenzaFK Strogino Moscow
    10Volgar-AstrakhanChertanovo M.
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12LeningradetsTBD #24
    13Dynamo VologdaDynamo Petersburg
    14TekstilshtikTver
    15KirovTBD #30
    16KhimikAmkar
    17TyumenTBD #34
    18MiassVolna Nizhegorodskaya
    19ByeTBD #38
    20ByeTBD #40
    21OmskTBD #42
    22Znamya TrudaDynamo Barnaul
    23Legion MakhachkalaAlania Vladikavkaz
    24AstrakhanFK Pobeda
    25MashukSpartak Nalchik
    26KholdingNart Cherkessk
    27KubanTBD #54
    28Dynamo StavropolAngust Nazran

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7Bye

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
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