Gornyak-UGMK vs Rostov: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:4
18/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : VHL
Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 03:47, 0 - 1, Barsukov T. (G), Voronin N. (A), Grishin P. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 07:59, 0 - 2, Sedantsov O. (G), Urulin S. (A),
  • 10:26, 0 - 3, Barsukov T. (G), Korbit Y. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:46, 0 - 4, Sergiyevsky Y. (G), Sokolov D. (A),
  • 06:42, 1 - 4, Chernikov Y. (G), Gordin A. (A), Romashkin P. (A2)

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Gornyak-UGMK
65.5%
Draw
17.9%
Rostov
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 18.8% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3% 20.6% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gornyak-UGMK that the model has picked up on.
  • The ML Model estimate for Rostov aligns with the current prediction.
  • Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.39)
    5.13
    (4.88)
    5.51
    (6.02)
    9.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 4.
    • In recent matches, Gornyak-UGMK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rostov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Rostov has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:29. (average 3.5:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:15. (average 3.3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov were as follows:
    31.10.2025 Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK 3:4
    20.01.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov 3:2
    02.11.2024 Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK 1:3
    06.12.2023 Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov 1:5
    10.11.2023 Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK 3:7
    Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
    Latest results of Rostov
    12.01.2026 Rostov - Molot Perm 4:5
    10.01.2026 Rostov - Toros Neftekamsk 1:2
    08.01.2026 Rostov - Izhstal 4:2
    26.12.2025 AKM - Rostov 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)4 : 2
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)4 : 3
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)4 : 1
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)4 : 0
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)4 : 1
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)4 : 2
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)4 : 2
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)Gornyak (8)2 : 0
    2Khimik (4)Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)0 : 1
    3HC Yugra (2)Omskie Krylia (7)1 : 0
    4Almetyevsk (3)Ryazan (6)1 : 1
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