Rostov vs CSKA Moscow: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Russian Premier League Rostov - CSKA Moscow
Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 8
  • Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
Rostov - CSKA Moscow - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.96
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
74% (201/272)83% (388/468)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.020.70
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
74% (201/272)83% (388/468)
Long passes
45% (28/62)56% (35/63)
Passes in final third
61% (52/85)68% (89/130)
Crosses
27% (3/11)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.64
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
1216
Tackles
69% (9/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4950
Clearances
4421
Interceptions
159
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.702.02
Goals prevented
0.701.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Kuchaev K. ,
  • 16', Mironov A. 🟨,
  • 26', Krugovoy D. 🟨,
  • 30', Chistyakov D. 🟨,
  • 43', Gajic M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Shumansky A. , Musaev T. ,
  • 50', Matheus Alves 🟨,
  • 70', Suleymanov T. , Golenkov E. ,
  • 70', Mironov A. , Shantaliy D. ,
  • 76', Alerrandro , Abdulkadyrov D. ,
  • 76', Krugovoy D. , Lukin M. ,
  • 76', Kislyak M. , Di Luciano R. ,
  • 82', Shchetinin K. , Komarov I. ,
  • 84', Matheus Alves 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 86', Kuchaev K. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Ronaldo , Langovich A. ,

Chances of winning


Rostov
27.2%
Draw
27.6%
CSKA Moscow
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 26.9% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 25.6% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Rostov - CSKA Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (3.5)
    3.48
    (3.45)
    2.12
    (1.99)
    4.3%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Rostov - CSKA Moscow?
  • Users Predictions: CSKA Moscow will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.
    • Rostov is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • CSKA is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • CSKA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • CSKA might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Rostov: Odoevski D. (Broken nose)
    • There will not play in CSKA: Villagra R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rostov: Sako O. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rostov - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Rostov - CSKA Moscow 0:1
    31.01.2025 CSKA Moscow - Rostov 1:0
    23.11.2024 CSKA Moscow - Rostov 1:2
    20.07.2024 Rostov - CSKA Moscow 0:0
    12.03.2024 CSKA Moscow - Rostov 2:0
    Latest results of Rostov
    30.08.2025 Rostov - Akhmat Grozny 1:1
    23.08.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov 3:3
    17.08.2025 Rubin Kazan - Rostov 1:0
    14.08.2025 Pari NN - Rostov 1:0
    Latest results of CSKA Moscow
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow1055021:13820
    2Krasnodar1062220:71320
    3Zenit1054120:91119
    4CSKA Moscow953118:81018
    5Baltika945013:5817
    6Spartak Moscow943214:14015
    7Rubin Kazan1043313:15-215
    8Dynamo Moscow1043315:12315
    9Akhmat Grozny1043314:11315
    10Krylya Sovetov1033416:19-312
    11FK Rostov102448:12-410
    12Dynamo Makhachkala92345:11-69
    13Orenburg1014513:21-87
    14Akron Togliatti1014512:17-57
    15Pari NN92078:17-96
    16Sochi90185:24-191

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL

    Which TV channels are streaming of Rostov - CSKA Moscow?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
    russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
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