Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Norwegian Eliteserien Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08
Result
2:3
05/10/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eliteserien - Round 24
  • Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)
Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.65
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
86% (441/512)78% (245/316)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.591.70
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
1311
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
3916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2410
Passes
86% (441/512)78% (245/316)
Long passes
58% (30/52)33% (16/49)
Passes in final third
70% (99/141)63% (55/88)
Crosses
18% (4/22)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.23
Throw-ins
149
Fouls
1024
Tackles
47% (8/17)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5841
Clearances
1430
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.702.59
Goals prevented
-1.300.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', Vaananen S. , Zeidan M. ,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Sorli S. , Opoku M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Islamovic D. ,
  • 54', Reinhardsen P. , Wichne E. ,
  • 62', Karlsbakk D. 🟨,
  • 66', Duris D. , Saeter O. ,
  • 66', Pereira A. , Jenssen U. ,
  • 66', Opoku M. , Sanyang A. ,
  • 66', Halvorsen V. E. , Christiansen S. ,
  • 66', Nibe A. , Job D. ,
  • 72', Wichne E. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Christiansen S. ,
  • 82', Zeidan M. 🟥,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Islamovic D. (Pen),
  • 87', 2 - 3, Sorli S. ,
  • 88', Sorli S. , Trondsen A. ,
  • 90+6', Jeahze M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rosenborg
56.3%
Draw
22.2%
Sarpsborg 08
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 21.3% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 23.7% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosenborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.64)
    4.27
    (4.48)
    4.43
    (4.6)
    5.5%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08?
  • Users Predictions: Rosenborg will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rosenborg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 0.
    • Recent performances by Rosenborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sarpsborg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rosenborg has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Rosenborg is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Rosenborg: Ceide M. K. (Red Card) Jenssen U. (Injury) Sahsah N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:35. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rosenborg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg 2:2
    25.06.2025 Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 2:3
    23.11.2024 Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 1:1
    12.07.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg 4:1
    08.10.2023 Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg 5:2
    Latest results of Rosenborg
    24.09.2025 Haugesund - Rosenborg 1:4
    21.09.2025 Rosenborg - Bodø Glimt 1:1
    14.09.2025 Haugesund - Rosenborg 0:3
    Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking24165358:322653
    2Bodo/Glimt23164361:204152
    3Brann23144542:33946
    4Tromso24143738:29945
    5Sandefjord231111141:35634
    6Rosenborg2397731:31034
    7Valerenga241041039:40-134
    8KFUM Oslo2489737:29833
    9Sarpsborg 082488840:38232
    10Fredrikstad2488830:28232
    11Molde24931234:32230
    12Kristiansund24861028:45-1730
    13HamKam24671128:38-1025
    14Bryne24661228:39-1124
    15Stromsgodset24621632:51-1920
    16Haugesund24132014:61-476

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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