Result
2:3
05/10/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Eliteserien - Round 24
- Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.97 | 1.65 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
86% (441/512) | 78% (245/316) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.97 | 1.65 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.59 | 1.70 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
39 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
24 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
86% (441/512) | 78% (245/316) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (30/52) | 33% (16/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (99/141) | 63% (55/88) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (4/22) | 8% (1/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.50 | 0.23 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 24 |
Tackles |
---|
47% (8/17) | 50% (7/14) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.70 | 2.59 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.30 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', Vaananen S. ↓, Zeidan M. ↑,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Sorli S. ⚽, Opoku M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 1, Islamovic D. ⚽,
- 54', Reinhardsen P. ↓, Wichne E. ↑,
- 62', Karlsbakk D. 🟨,
- 66', Duris D. ↓, Saeter O. ↑,
- 66', Pereira A. ↓, Jenssen U. ↑,
- 66', Opoku M. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 66', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Christiansen S. ↑,
- 66', Nibe A. ↓, Job D. ↑,
- 72', Wichne E. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 2, Christiansen S. ⚽,
- 82', Zeidan M. 🟥,
- 86', 2 - 2, Islamovic D. (Pen),
- 87', 2 - 3, Sorli S. ⚽,
- 88', Sorli S. ↓, Trondsen A. ↑,
- 90+6', Jeahze M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rosenborg 56.3% | Draw 22.2% | Sarpsborg 08 21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosenborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↑ (1.64) |
4.27 ↓ (4.48) |
4.43 ↓ (4.6) |
5.5% (5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08?
Users Predictions:
Rosenborg will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rosenborg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 0.
- Recent performances by Rosenborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sarpsborg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Rosenborg has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Rosenborg is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Rosenborg: Ceide M. K.
(Red Card)
Jenssen U.
(Injury)
Sahsah N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:35. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rosenborg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Rosenborg won against Sarpsborg 08?
Rosenborg has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Rosenborg?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
18.07.2025
Sarpsborg 08
-
Rosenborg
2:2
25.06.2025
Rosenborg
-
Sarpsborg 08
2:3
23.11.2024
Rosenborg
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:1
12.07.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Rosenborg
4:1
08.10.2023
Sarpsborg 08
-
Rosenborg
5:2
Latest results of Rosenborg
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Viking | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 58:32 | 26 | 53 |
2 | Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 61:20 | 41 | 52 |
3 | Brann | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
4 | Tromso | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
5 | Sandefjord | 23 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 41:35 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rosenborg | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 34 |
7 | Valerenga | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 34 |
8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 33 |
9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40:38 | 2 | 32 |
10 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
11 | Molde | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 34:32 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Kristiansund | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 28:45 | -17 | 30 |
13 | HamKam | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 25 |
14 | Bryne | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 24 |
15 | Stromsgodset | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 32:51 | -19 | 20 |
16 | Haugesund | 24 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14:61 | -47 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
Which TV channels are streaming of Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1 |
World | Onefootball |