Roma vs Napoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Roma - Napoli
Result
1:1
02/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 23
  • Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
Roma - Napoli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.520.30
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
125
Shots on Goal
22
Shots off Goal
52
Blocked Shots
51
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
23
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
139
Offsides
12
Fouls
913
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
1916
Touches in the Opposition Box
2018
Passes
86% (418/485)86% (401/468)
Passes in the final third
79% (99/126)70% (76/108)
Crosses
15% (3/20)25% (3/12)
Tackles
67% (6/9)73% (11/15)
Clearances Total
1529
Interceptions
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Politano M. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Spinazzola L. , Juan Jesus (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Kone M. 🟨,
  • 55', El Shaarawy S. , Saelemaekers A. ,
  • 56', Kone M. , Paredes L. ,
  • 64', Cristante B. , Dovbyk A. ,
  • 73', Pisilli N. 🟨,
  • 76', David Neres , Mazzocchi P. ,
  • 80', Shomurodov E. , Dybala P. ,
  • 80', Rensch D. , Baldanzi T. ,
  • 81', Lukaku R. , Simeone G. ,
  • 86', Politano M. , Raspadori G. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Angelino , Saelemaekers A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Roma
27.1%
Draw
29.6%
Napoli
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 28.9% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 29.9% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roma's form might have worsened.
  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Napoli's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Roma - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.56
    (2.8)
    3.23
    (3.3)
    2.21
    (2.57)
    4.2%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Roma - Napoli?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma won 1.
    • Roma is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Napoli in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Roma: Marin R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Napoli: Olivera M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Roma: Hermoso M. (Personal Reasons)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Roma won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:27 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:11 (average 0.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Napoli were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Napoli - Roma 1:0
    28.04.2024 Napoli - Roma 2:2
    23.12.2023 Roma - Napoli 2:0
    29.01.2023 Napoli - Roma 2:1
    23.10.2022 Roma - Napoli 0:1
    Latest results of Roma
    30.01.2025 Roma - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0
    26.01.2025 Udinese - Roma 1:2
    23.01.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Roma 1:0
    17.01.2025 Roma - Genoa 3:1
    12.01.2025 Bologna - Roma 2:2
    Latest results of Napoli
    25.01.2025 Napoli - Juventus 2:1
    18.01.2025 Atalanta - Napoli 2:3
    12.01.2025 Napoli - Verona 2:0
    04.01.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 0:3
    29.12.2024 Napoli - Venezia 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli382410459:273282
    2Inter38249579:354481
    3Atalanta38228878:374174
    4Juventus381816458:352370
    5AS Roma38209956:352169
    6Fiorentina381981160:411965
    7Lazio381811961:491265
    8AC Milan381891161:431863
    9Bologna381614857:471062
    10Como3813101549:52-349
    11Torino3810141439:45-644
    12Udinese381281841:56-1544
    13Genoa3810131537:49-1243
    14Verona381072134:66-3237
    15Cagliari38992040:56-1636
    16Parma387151644:58-1436
    17Lecce388102027:58-3134
    18Empoli386131933:59-2631
    19Venezia385141932:56-2429
    20Monza38392628:69-4118

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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