Lazio vs Roma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Olimpico (Rome).

: Serie A - Round 32
Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	0.28
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
10	5
Passes
83% (284/342)	88% (337/383)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	0.28
xG on target (xGOT)
3.49	0.78
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
10	5
Touches in opposition box
19	13
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
83% (284/342)	88% (337/383)
Long passes
51% (23/45)	54% (19/35)
Passes in final third
66% (63/96)	78% (80/103)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.45	0.42
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
71% (10/14)	47% (9/19)
Duels won
43	43
Clearances Total
19	30
Interceptions
3	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
0.78	3.49
Goals prevented
-0.22	2.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Paredes L. 🟨,
30', Zaccagni M. 🟨,
45+1', Isaksen G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Paredes L. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Romagnoli A. ⚽, Pellegrini Lu. (A),
55', Mancini G. 🟨,
59', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
63', Pellegrini Lu. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Soule M. ⚽, Saelemaekers A. (A),
73', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
73', Castellanos T. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
80', Dele-Bashiru F. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
80', Zaccagni M. ↓, Belahyane R. ↑,
84', Dovbyk A. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
88', Rovella N. 🟨,
88', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
88', Soule M. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Lazio
31.5%

Draw
30.4%

Roma
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lazio's form might have worsened.

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lazio - Roma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.55)	3.15 ↓ (3.32)	2.51 ↓ (2.86)	4.6% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Lazio - Roma?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 2.
Recent matches Lazio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Roma is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lazio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Lazio: Ibrahimovic A. (Injury) Patric (Foot Injury) Tavares N. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Roma: Abdulhamid S. (Thigh Injury) Dybala P. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Lazio: Renzetti D. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Lazio won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23:23 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:5 (average 1.4:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Roma?

Lazio has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Lazio?

Roma has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Roma were as follows:

05.01.2025 Roma - Lazio 2:0

06.04.2024 Roma - Lazio 1:0

10.01.2024 Lazio - Roma 1:0

12.11.2023 Lazio - Roma 0:0

19.03.2023 Lazio - Roma 1:0

Latest results of Lazio

10.04.2025 Bodø Glimt - Lazio 2:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:1 ✺

31.03.2025 Lazio - Torino 1:1 ✺

13.03.2025 Lazio - Viktoria Plzeň 1:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Lazio - Udinese 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Roma

06.04.2025 Roma - Juventus 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Lecce - Roma 0:1 ✺

13.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Roma 3:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Empoli - Roma 0:1 ✺

06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Napoli ✔	35	23	8	4	55:25	30	77
2	Inter ✔	35	22	8	5	73:33	40	74
3	Atalanta	35	20	8	7	71:31	40	68
4	Juventus	35	16	15	4	52:32	20	63
5	AS Roma	35	18	9	8	50:32	18	63
6	Lazio	35	18	9	8	58:45	13	63
7	Bologna	36	16	14	6	54:41	13	62
8	AC Milan	36	17	9	10	58:40	18	60
9	Fiorentina	35	17	8	10	53:35	18	59
10	Como	35	12	9	14	45:48	-3	45
11	Torino	35	10	14	11	39:40	-1	44
12	Udinese	35	12	8	15	38:49	-11	44
13	Genoa	35	9	12	14	30:43	-13	39
14	Cagliari	35	8	9	18	36:51	-15	33
15	Verona	35	9	5	21	30:63	-33	32
16	Parma	35	6	14	15	40:54	-14	32
17	Lecce	35	6	9	20	24:57	-33	27
18	Venezia	35	4	14	17	28:49	-21	26
19	Empoli	35	4	13	18	27:55	-28	25
20	Monza ✔	35	2	9	24	25:63	-38	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Clinched Spots for Teams

Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Monza is Relegated to Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Lazio - Roma?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia