Lazio vs Roma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Lazio - Roma
Result
0:1
21/09/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 4
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
Lazio - Roma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.46
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
81% (315/388)82% (336/408)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.192.05
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1424
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
2214
Passes
81% (315/388)82% (336/408)
Long passes
44% (18/41)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
68% (55/81)81% (104/129)
Crosses
20% (3/15)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.15
Throw-ins
1420
Fouls
1422
Tackles
64% (9/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5641
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.050.19
Goals prevented
1.050.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Dele-Bashiru F. , Belahyane R. ,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Pellegrini Lo. , Soule M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rovella N. , Cataldi D. ,
  • 46', Tavares N. , Pellegrini Lu. ,
  • 62', Dia B. , Castellanos T. ,
  • 66', Ferguson E. , Dovbyk A. ,
  • 73', Pellegrini Lo. , Pisilli N. ,
  • 73', Soule M. , Baldanzi T. ,
  • 79', Pedro , Noslin T. ,
  • 81', Cristante B. , El Aynaoui N. ,
  • 81', Angelino , Tsimikas K. ,
  • 83', Ndicka E. 🟨,
  • 86', Belahyane R. 🟥,
  • 88', Gila M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Guendouzi M. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lazio
34.3%
Draw
31.8%
Roma
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 29.3% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 29.9% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Lazio - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.8)
    3.02
    (3.25)
    2.8
    (2.59)
    4.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lazio - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 13 - 25%). Roma will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 31 - 59.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.3%72.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1.
    • In recent matches, Lazio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Roma is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Lazio: Gigot S. (Back Injury) Lazzari M. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Roma: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dybala P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lazio: Patric (Ankle Injury) Rovella N. (Injury) Vecino M. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.5:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Roma were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Lazio - Roma 1:1
    05.01.2025 Roma - Lazio 2:0
    06.04.2024 Roma - Lazio 1:0
    10.01.2024 Lazio - Roma 1:0
    12.11.2023 Lazio - Roma 0:0
    Latest results of Lazio
    14.09.2025 Sassuolo - Lazio 1:0
    31.08.2025 Lazio - Verona 4:0
    24.08.2025 Como - Lazio 2:0
    16.08.2025 Lazio - Atromitos Athens 2:0
    09.08.2025 Burnley - Lazio 0:1
    Latest results of Roma
    14.09.2025 Roma - Torino 0:1
    30.08.2025 Pisa - Roma 0:1
    23.08.2025 Roma - Bologna 1:0
    16.08.2025 Roma - Neom 2:2
    09.08.2025 Everton - Roma 0:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli650112:6615
    2AS Roma65017:2515
    3AC Milan64119:3613
    4Inter640217:8912
    5Juventus63309:5412
    6Atalanta624011:5610
    7Bologna63129:5410
    8Como62317:529
    9Sassuolo63038:809
    10Cremonese62317:8-19
    11Cagliari62226:608
    12Udinese62226:9-38
    13Lazio621310:737
    14Parma61233:7-45
    15Lecce61235:10-55
    16Torino61235:13-85
    17Fiorentina60334:8-43
    18Verona60332:9-73
    19Genoa60243:9-62
    20Pisa60243:10-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lazio - Roma?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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