Result
29/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Rodina Moscow
63.2% | Draw
23.6% | Sokol Saratov
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Rodina Moscow - Sokol Saratov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.45) |
3.98 ↑
(3.9) |
7.12 ↓
(7.5) |
6.4%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 3.
- Rodina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Sokol Saratov has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sokol Saratov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Rodina is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Rodina will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodina Moscow won against Sokol Saratov?
Rodina Moscow has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sokol Saratov won against Rodina Moscow?
Sokol Saratov has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodina Moscow - Sokol Saratov were as follows:
13.04.2025
Sokol Saratov
-
Rodina Moscow
1:2
09.09.2024
Rodina Moscow
-
Sokol Saratov
2:0
07.04.2024
Sokol Saratov
-
Rodina Moscow
1:1
16.07.2023
Rodina Moscow
-
Sokol Saratov
4:0
Latest results of Rodina Moscow
Latest results of Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | S. Kostroma | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
| 2 | Ural | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Fakel Voronezh | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 | Chelyabinsk | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:5 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Rodina Moscow | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Neftekhimik | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | SKA Khabarovsk | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Ulyanovsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 13 | Ufa | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Yenisey | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Saratov | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 6 |
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Relegation
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