Result
1:5
03/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : FNL - Round 8
- Referee: Falov V. (Rus)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 12 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 1 - 0, Nikitin A. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Timoshenko I. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 2, Timoshenko I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 60', 1 - 3, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
- 62', Koryan A. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
- 63', Kokoev D. ↓, Kantaria G. ↑,
- 63', Sukhomlinov D. ↓, Mikhaylov D. ↑,
- 63', Shiltsov K. ↓, Dzhamilov S. ↑,
- 70', Ushatov K. 🟨,
- 71', Magomedov R. ↓, Mashukov I. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 4, Abdusalamov M. ⚽,
- 75', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
- 76', Reyna Y. ↓, Gordyushenko A. ↑,
- 76', Maksimenko A. ↓, Kontsevoy A. ↑,
- 77', Timoshenko I. ↓, Egorychev A. ↑,
- 87', Nikitin A. ↓, Budylin A. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 5, Kontsevoy A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 23.3% | Draw 30.1% | Rodina Moscow 46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk's form might have worsened.Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.11 ↑ (3.29) |
3.18 ↑ (3.11) |
2.06 ↓ (2.3) |
4.5% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rodina (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Rodina Moscow will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 13)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Rodina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftekhimik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1.3:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk won against Rodina Moscow?
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodina Moscow won against Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?
Rodina Moscow has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow were as follows:
01.12.2024
Rodina Moscow
-
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
0:3
29.09.2024
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
-
Rodina Moscow
2:1
25.05.2024
Rodina Moscow
-
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
3:0
27.08.2023
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
-
Rodina Moscow
1:4
13.05.2023
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
-
Rodina Moscow
1:5
Latest results of Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Latest results of Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ural | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Fakel Voronezh | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 19 |
3 | Kamaz | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
4 | S. Kostroma | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Chelyabinsk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
6 | R. Volgograd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 14 |
7 | Arsenal Tula | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
8 | Rodina Moscow | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
9 | Ufa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
10 | SKA Khabarovsk | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 |
12 | Yenisey | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
13 | Ulyanovsk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
14 | Neftekhimik | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
15 | FK Chayka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:17 | -11 | 6 |
16 | Torpedo Moscow | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Saratov | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 4 |
18 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
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Relegation
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