Red Star vs Rodez: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Red Star - Rodez
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
Red Star - Rodez - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.81
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
86% (425/493)73% (187/255)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.081.04
Total shots
167
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
101
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1915
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1914
Passes
86% (425/493)73% (187/255)
Long passes
50% (22/44)40% (21/53)
Passes in final third
73% (97/132)55% (42/76)
Crosses
18% (5/28)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.37
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
1419
Tackles
100% (8/8)33% (5/15)
Duels won
3939
Clearances
2236
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.040.08
Goals prevented
0.04-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Jean-Lambert E. 🟨,
  • 30', Magnin M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Danger B. 🟨,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Nagera K. ,
  • 66', Durand D. , Cabral K. ,
  • 67', Ikanga J. , Benali H. ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Cisse K. , Durivaux D. (A),
  • 74', Arconte T. , Balde I. ,
  • 74', Joly O. , Achi M. ,
  • 76', Galves N. 🟨,
  • 79', Cabral K. 🟨,
  • 85', Mendes J. 🟨,
  • 86', Khaoui S. E. , Hachem A. ,
  • 87', Nagera K. , Saka M. ,
  • 87', Galves N. , Tourraine M. ,

Chances of winning


Red Star
48.3%
Draw
26.8%
Rodez
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 27.2% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 26.8% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.
  • Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Red Star - Rodez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.26)
    3.52
    (3.5)
    3.76
    (3.09)
    6.5%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Red Star - Rodez?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Rodez will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
    • Red Star is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rodez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rodez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Red Star will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Escartin J. (Injury) Hachem A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Rodez: Crombez E. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Inactive) Trouillet A. (Inactive) Vangi D. (Inactive) Younoussa W. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Rodez were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Red Star - Rodez 1:1
    03.01.2025 Rodez - Red Star 0:2
    Latest results of Red Star
    29.09.2025 Boulogne - Red Star 1:2
    23.09.2025 Red Star - Troyes 1:3
    19.09.2025 Nancy - Red Star 0:1
    12.09.2025 Pau - Red Star 0:3
    29.08.2025 Red Star - Annecy 1:0
    Latest results of Rodez
    26.09.2025 Rodez - Pau 1:2
    23.09.2025 Bastia - Rodez 2:3
    19.09.2025 Rodez - Clermont 0:1
    12.09.2025 Le Mans - Rodez 0:1
    29.08.2025 Rodez - Boulogne 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1072120:91123
    2Pau FC1063117:9821
    3St Etienne962119:10920
    4Red Star952215:9617
    5Reims1043316:15115
    6Guingamp1043318:21-315
    7Rodez1034310:13-313
    8Nancy933310:11-112
    9Annecy1033410:12-212
    10Montpellier93248:10-211
    11Dunkerque924316:14210
    12Le Mans924311:12-110
    13Grenoble1024411:13-210
    14Boulogne103169:13-410
    15Clermont102449:14-510
    16Amiens923411:13-29
    17Laval91537:11-48
    18Bastia100464:12-84

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Red Star - Rodez?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
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