Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Gaston: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Cincinnati Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston
Result
2:1
07/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals
Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
57%66%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (41/57)71% (37/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (24/43)52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
31% (16/52)30% (17/57)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (13/27)44% (19/43)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)33% (3/9)
Winners
2530
Unforced Errors
3546
Net Points Won
113% (17/15)72% (21/29)
Service Points Won
65% (65/100)63% (50/79)
Return Points Won
37% (29/79)35% (35/100)
Total Points Won
53% (94/179)47% (85/179)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Roberto Carballes Baena
53.4%
Hugo Gaston
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 47.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.91)

    2.03
    (1.91)
    5.1%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gaston will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 1 - 50%). Gaston (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 89. Gaston is ranked ATP: 126.
    • Carballes Baena has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gaston is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carballes Baena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston were as follows:
    24.07.2024 Hugo Gaston - Roberto Carballes Baena 2:0
    14.01.2024 Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston 1:3
    08.09.2023 Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston 2:1
    Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    28.07.2025 Mattia Bellucci - Hugo Gaston Bellucci M. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Galan D. E. (Q)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    3Baez S.Goffin D.2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (30)
    5Machac T. (19)Bye
    6Thompson J.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    7Martinez P.Jarry N. (WC)2 : 1
    8ByePaul T. (13)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Rinderknech A.Borges N.2 : 0
    11Etcheverry T. M.Shang J.2 : 1
    12ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (23)
    13Tsitsipas S. (25)Bye
    14Smith C. (Q)Marozsan F.1 : 2
    15Bonzi B.Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    16ByeMusetti L. (8)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Coric B.Nava E. (Q)
    19Bergs Z.Fearnley J.2 : 0
    20ByeSonego L. (31)
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Bye
    22Fonseca J.Bu Y.2 : 1
    23Atmane T. (Q)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    24ByeCobolli F. (15)
    25Tiafoe F. (10)Bye
    26Carballes Baena R.Gaston H.2 : 1
    27Mpetshi Perricard G.Wong C. (Q)0 : 2
    28ByeHumbert U. (20)
    29Michelsen A. (28)Bye
    30Moutet C.McDonald M.2 : 0
    31Safiullin R.Tabilo A.2 : 0
    32ByeRune H. (7)
    33Shelton B. (5)Bye
    34Ugo Carabelli C.Nishikori K.
    35Altmaier D.Bautista-Agut R.
    36ByeNorrie C. (32)
    37Lehecka J. (22)Bye
    38Boyer T. (WC)Holt B. (WC)
    39Walton A.Navone M. (LL)
    40ByeMedvedev D. (12)
    41Khachanov K. (14)Bye
    42Ofner S. (PR)Royer V. (Q)
    43Brooksby J. (WC)Muller A.
    44ByeFils A. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Giron M.Blockx A. (Q)
    47Monfils G.Basavareddy N. (WC)
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49De Minaur A. (6)Bye
    50Dellien H.Opelka R.
    51Comesana F.Munar J.
    52ByeDarderi L. (29)
    53Popyrin A. (21)Bye
    54Landaluce M. (Q)Kypson P. (Q)
    55Tien L.Riedi L. (Q)
    56ByeRublev A. (9)
    57Mensik J. (16)Bye
    58Kecmanovic M.Quinn E.
    59Nardi L. (LL)Tirante T. A. (Q)
    60ByeShapovalov D. (24)
    61Griekspoor T. (26)Bye
    62Medjedovic H.Kovacevic A.
    63Bellucci M.Dzumhur D.
    64ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Galan D. E.
    2Baez S.Diallo G. (30)
    3Machac T. (19)Mannarino A.
    4Martinez P.Paul T. (13)
    5Ruud C. (11)Rinderknech A.
    6Etcheverry T. M.Auger-Aliassime F. (23)
    7Tsitsipas S. (25)Marozsan F.
    8Bonzi B.Musetti L. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)TBD #18
    10Bergs Z.Sonego L. (31)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Fonseca J.
    12Atmane T.Cobolli F. (15)
    13Tiafoe F. (10)Carballes Baena R.
    14Wong C.Humbert U. (20)
    15Michelsen A. (28)Moutet C.
    16Safiullin R.Rune H. (7)
    17Shelton B. (5)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Norrie C. (32)
    19Lehecka J. (22)TBD #38
    20TBD #39Medvedev D. (12)
    21Khachanov K. (14)TBD #42
    22TBD #43Fils A. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (27)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Zverev A. (3)
    25De Minaur A. (6)TBD #50
    26TBD #51Darderi L. (29)
    27Popyrin A. (21)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Rublev A. (9)
    29Mensik J. (16)TBD #58
    30TBD #59Shapovalov D. (24)
    31Griekspoor T. (26)TBD #62
    32TBD #63Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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