Roberto Carballes Baena vs Carlos Taberner: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Gstaad Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Taberner
Result
2:1
15/07/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad, clay - 1/16-finals
Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Taberner - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
46
1st Serve Percentage
63%63%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (43/60)69% (43/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (14/35)44% (16/36)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
31% (19/62)28% (17/60)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (20/36)60% (21/35)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)33% (3/9)
Winners
2033
Unforced Errors
2942
Net Points Won
80% (8/10)80% (12/15)
Service Points Won
60% (57/95)60% (59/98)
Return Points Won
40% (39/98)40% (38/95)
Total Points Won
50% (96/193)50% (97/193)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
03
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Roberto Carballes Baena
52.4%
Carlos Taberner
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.
  • Carlos Taberner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos Taberner's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Taberner than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlos Taberner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Taberner Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.56)

    1.99
    (2.32)
    5.5%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Taberner?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Taberner will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Roberto Carballes Baena will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 74. Taberner is ranked ATP: 102.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Carballes Baena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carballes Baena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Taberner were as follows:
    28.02.2023 Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Taberner 1:0
    Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Bye
    2Stricker D. (WC)Herbert P.2 : 1
    3Cerundolo J. M.Struff J-L.2 : 1
    4Landaluce M. (NG)Goffin D. (WC)0 : 2
    5Zahraj P. (LL)Bye
    6Burruchaga R. A.Svrcina D.2 : 0
    7Majchrzak K.Atmane T.2 : 1
    8Buse I. (Q)Djere L. (5)2 : 1
    9Rinderknech A. (8)Passaro F. (Q)0 : 2
    10Kym J. (WC)Hemery C. (Q)2 : 1
    11Cazaux A.Basilashvili N.2 : 1
    12ByeEtcheverry T. M. (4)
    13Comesana F. (7)Trungelliti M. (Q)2 : 0
    14Carballes Baena R.Taberner C.2 : 1
    15Shevchenko A.Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    16ByeBublik A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Stricker D.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M.Goffin D.2 : 1
    3Zahraj P.Burruchaga R. A.1 : 2
    4Majchrzak K.Buse I.1 : 2
    5Passaro F.Kym J.0 : 2
    6Cazaux A.Etcheverry T. M. (4)2 : 1
    7Comesana F. (7)Carballes Baena R.2 : 0
    8Shevchenko A.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2
    2Burruchaga R. A.Buse I.1 : 2
    3Kym J.Cazaux A.1 : 2
    4Comesana F. (7)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo J. M.Buse I.
    2Cazaux A.Bublik A. (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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