River Plate Montevideo vs Progreso: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division River Plate Montevideo - Progreso
Result
0:0
14/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)
River Plate Montevideo - Progreso - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
77
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
77
Corner Kicks
57
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Pollero R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Lemmo I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Correa T. , Chavero J. ,
  • 61', De Leon F. , Quintana J. ,
  • 66', Copelotti M. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 66', Colombino A. , Pinheiro A. ,
  • 71', Pollero R. , Lopez I. ,
  • 72', Vera A. , Escobar M. ,
  • 75', Lopez F. , Lopez P. ,
  • 83', Lemos L. , Triver F. ,
  • 87', Lemmo I. , Sosa F. ,
  • 87', Silva G. , De Los Santos M. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
35%
Draw
28.6%
Progreso
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 29.8% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 28.5% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • River Plate Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.52)
    3.25
    (3.11)
    2.55
    (2.78)
    7.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0.
    • River Plate is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Progreso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 2:1
    19.10.2024 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 2:0
    09.06.2024 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 1:0
    21.04.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Progreso 2:2
    Latest results of Progreso
    31.08.2025 Boston River - Progreso 2:1
    24.08.2025 Progreso - Danubio 1:0
    09.08.2025 Progreso - Cerro Largo 1:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol861116:61019
    2Boston River853017:41318
    3Montevideo City852116:9717
    4Nacional861119:81116
    5Cerro Largo85128:4416
    6Defensor Sp85036:8-215
    7Liverpool M833210:9112
    8Danubio831412:9310
    9Miramar831413:11210
    10Progreso831410:11-110
    11CA Cerro83147:10-310
    12Racing Montevideo83147:15-810
    13Juventud83055:8-39
    14Wanderers81162:11-94
    15River Plate80262:13-112
    16Plaza Colonia80175:19-141

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