Unión Magdalena vs Rionegro Águilas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas
Result
3:2
04/10/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.67
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
79% (236/299)80% (270/336)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.63
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
79% (236/299)80% (270/336)
Long passes
38% (15/39)69% (35/51)
Passes in final third
69% (74/107)76% (71/94)
Crosses
26% (5/19)10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.92
Throw-ins
711
Fouls
1013
Tackles
75% (6/8)100% (9/9)
Duels won
4332
Clearances
2821
Interceptions
14
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.631.59
Goals prevented
-1.37-1.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Ramirez M. , Morelo W. (A),
  • 9', Molina F. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 2, Morelo W. , Ramirez M. (A),
  • 14', Mancilla H. 🟨,
  • 21', Lerma J. 🟨,
  • 35', Puerta M. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 2, Molina F. , Mercado J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Ramos N. , Murillo D. ,
  • 50', 2 - 2, Marquez R. (Pen),
  • 54', Molina F. 🟨,
  • 56', Mancilla H. , Pineda J. ,
  • 56', Ramirez M. , Charales F. ,
  • 56', Caballero J. , Lozano D. ,
  • 61', Contreras J. , Sarmiento J. ,
  • 62', Lerma J. , Penaloza J. ,
  • 67', Hinojosa R. , Lastre E. ,
  • 68', Cantillo F. 🟥,
  • 72', Lozano F. , Obregon J. ,
  • 72', Puerta M. , Palacio B. ,
  • 73', Lara Vasquez N. 🟨,
  • 76', 3 - 2, Sarmiento J. ,
  • 85', Marquez R. , Colpa Bolano R. R. ,
  • 90+16', Mercado J. 🟨,
  • 90+18', Charales F. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bder76ry

Chances of winning


Unión Magdalena
35.7%
Draw
31.2%
Rionegro Águilas
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 30.1% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 29.8% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.75)
    2.97
    (3.1)
    2.83
    (2.6)
    7.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2.
    • Recent form of Unión Magdalena has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rionegro Águilas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Unión Magdalena 1:1
    14.09.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Unión Magdalena 2:1
    02.04.2023 Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas 3:1
    22.09.2022 Rionegro Águilas - Unión Magdalena 2:0
    Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1593326:121430
    2Junior1584327:171028
    3Fortaleza1577120:13728
    4Ind. Medellin1483330:201027
    5Atl. Nacional1576225:17827
    6Deportes Tolima1572618:14423
    7Llaneros1564514:14022
    8Santa Fe1455416:14220
    9Dep. Cali1555520:21-120
    10Alianza1555519:20-120
    11Once Caldas1554618:21-319
    12Pereira1546515:16-118
    13Aguilas1546520:22-218
    14America De Cali1545614:15-117
    15Millonarios1552818:23-517
    16Envigado1537513:15-216
    17U. Magdalena1543817:25-815
    18Dep. Pasto1526717:23-612
    19Chico1526711:23-1212
    20La Equidad152589:22-1311

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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