Independiente Santa Fe vs Rionegro Águilas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/07/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Campín (Bogotá).

: Primera A - Clausura - Round 3

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	0.57
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
82% (309/379)	78% (224/286)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	0.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.53	0.04
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
6	8
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
8	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
8	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
82% (309/379)	78% (224/286)
Long passes
52% (33/64)	55% (30/55)
Passes in final third
73% (80/109)	69% (63/91)
Crosses
23% (5/22)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	0.25
Throw-ins
27	17
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
75% (9/12)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
37	31
Clearances
19	28
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	7
xGOT faced
0.04	0.53
Goals prevented
0.04	0.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Lopes H. 🟨,
33', Yony Gonzalez 🟨,
41', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
45+1', Mena J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Palacios M. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
46', Velasquez Y. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
64', Zapata A. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
65', Molina T. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
66', Murillo E. 🟨,
74', Murillo E. ↓, Balanta M. ↑,
74', Morelo W. ↓, Rivaldo J. ↑,
75', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Plata A. ↑,
87', Caballero J. ↓, Oliveros A. ↑,
87', Mena J. ↓, Blanco Betancur C. ↑,
87', Lozano D. 🟨,
89', Balanta M. 🟨,
90+4', Pineda J. ↓, Salazar T. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/57h7sxnw

Chances of winning

Independiente Santa Fe
48.2%

Draw
31.7%

Rionegro Águilas
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

32.8%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

31.5%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.97)	2.95 ↑ (2.85)	4.61 ↓ (4.75)	7.3% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 29.6% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 0.
Santa Fe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Rionegro Águilas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Rionegro Águilas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Santa Fe has had a series of away games.
In this match, Santa Fe is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Rionegro Águilas?

Independiente Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Independiente Santa Fe?

Rionegro Águilas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:

07.02.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe 0:0

06.10.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas 0:0

24.03.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1

07.10.2023 Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas 0:5

08.03.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2

Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe

18.07.2025 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1 ✺

13.07.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe 2:2 ✺

29.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2 ✺

24.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:0 ✺

19.06.2025 Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Rionegro Águilas

19.07.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla 2:3 ✺

13.07.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 2:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Orsomarso 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas 4:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	4	3	1	0	11:5	6	10
2	Atl. Nacional	4	2	1	1	8:5	3	7
3	Fortaleza	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7
4	Santa Fe	4	1	3	0	4:3	1	6
5	Deportes Tolima	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
6	Chico	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5
7	Llaneros	3	1	2	0	2:1	1	5
8	Dep. Pasto	2	1	1	0	5:4	1	4
9	America De Cali	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
10	Envigado	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4
11	Alianza	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
12	Pereira	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
13	La Equidad	3	1	1	1	2:3	-1	4
14	Aguilas	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
15	Dep. Cali	3	0	2	1	1:3	-2	2
16	Bucaramanga	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
17	Ind. Medellin	3	0	1	2	4:7	-3	1
18	Once Caldas	3	0	1	2	4:7	-3	1
19	U. Magdalena	2	0	1	1	1:4	-3	1
20	Millonarios	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz