Deportes Tolima vs Rionegro Águilas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas
Result
1:2
25/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
  • Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.26
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
79% (304/385)76% (223/292)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.761.36
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
79% (304/385)76% (223/292)
Long passes
60% (43/72)41% (20/49)
Passes in final third
57% (52/91)71% (65/91)
Crosses
38% (6/16)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.94
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1013
Tackles
78% (7/9)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3634
Clearances
925
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.360.76
Goals prevented
-0.64-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Quinones J. 🟨,
  • 33', Rivas J. 🟨,
  • 35', Trujillo C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Salazar T. , Morelo W. ,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Yony Gonzalez , Caballero J. (A),
  • 59', Gonzalez J. , Castro A. ,
  • 59', Quinones J. , Parra Osorio A. ,
  • 68', Lencina G. (Pen),
  • 69', 1 - 1, Lencina G. ,
  • 70', Perez K. , Hernandez J. ,
  • 73', 1 - 2, Lozano D. ,
  • 78', Rovira B. , Arroyo A. ,
  • 80', Farinez W. 🟨,
  • 90', Lozano D. , Pineda J. ,
  • 90', Rivas J. , Aguilar F. ,
  • 90+5', Caballero J. , Escobar Salcedo J. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2jp74j24

Chances of winning


Deportes Tolima
67.5%
Draw
21.5%
Rionegro Águilas
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 22.5% 10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4% 21% 10.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.38)
    4.29
    (4.1)
    8.49
    (8.5)
    7.2%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 64.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
    • Deportes Tolima has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rionegro Águilas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Deportes Tolima is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Deportes Tolima will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima 0:1
    12.04.2024 Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas 2:1
    02.12.2023 Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas 0:1
    18.11.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima 0:4
    29.07.2023 Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas 1:1
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Apertura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1America De Cali31204:315
    2Ind. Medellin21104:224
    3Deportes Tolima30213:5-22
    4Junior20112:3-11


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santa Fe32014:316
    2Millonarios21101:014
    3Atl. Nacional30211:2-12
    4Once Caldas20111:2-11

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)

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