Rio Noguchi vs Stanislas Wawrinka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Cancun 2 Challenger Men Rio Noguchi - Stanislas Wawrinka
Result
0:2
14/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - 1/8-finals
Rio Noguchi - Stanislas Wawrinka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
19
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
46%53%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (14/25)90% (28/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (18/29)57% (16/28)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
19% (6/31)48% (12/25)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (12/28)38% (11/29)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)33% (2/6)
Winners
424
Unforced Errors
1733
Net Points Won
71% (5/7)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
59% (32/54)75% (44/59)
Return Points Won
25% (15/59)41% (22/54)
Total Points Won
42% (47/113)58% (66/113)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Rio Noguchi
37.2%
Stanislas Wawrinka
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6% 73.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Noguchi's performance.
  • Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stanislas Wawrinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Noguchi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stanislas Wawrinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rio Noguchi - Stanislas Wawrinka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (3.2)

    1.51
    (1.32)
    6.7%
    (7.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Noguchi is ranked ATP: 210. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 152.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Wawrinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Wawrinka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    14.08.2025 Liam Draxl - Rio Noguchi Canceled
    12.08.2025 Rio Noguchi - James Watt 2:0
    11.08.2025 Rio Noguchi - Ray Ho 2:1
    22.07.2025 Rio Noguchi - Shintaro Mochizuki Mochizuki S. retired
    Latest results of Stanislas Wawrinka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Bye
    2Hanfmann Y. (Alt)Struff J-L. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Galan D. E.Buse I. (Alt)0 : 2
    4Zhukayev B. (Q)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5De Jong J. (3)Bye
    6Trungelliti M. (Alt)Pacheco Mendez R. (NG)0 : 2
    7Gaston H.Galarneau A. (Q)0 : 2
    8Hernandez A. (WC)Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    9Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.) (LL)Noguchi R. (Q)0 : 1
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Harper C. (Q)2 : 0
    11Lajovic D. (RET.)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 0
    12ByeCerundolo J. M. (4)
    13Tabilo A. (6)Passaro F.2 : 0
    14Gigante M. (RET.)Tirante T. A. (Alt)0 : 1
    15Pellegrino A.Wong C. (Alt)0 : 2
    16ByeCazaux A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Hanfmann Y.2 : 1
    2Buse I.Zhukayev B.2 : 0
    3De Jong J. (3)Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    4Galarneau A.Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    5Noguchi R.Wawrinka S.0 : 2
    6Burruchaga R. A.Cerundolo J. M. (4)1 : 2
    7Tabilo A. (6)Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8Wong C.Cazaux A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Buse I.1 : 2
    2De Jong J. (3)Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    3Wawrinka S.Cerundolo J. M. (4)2 : 0
    4Tirante T. A.Cazaux A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I.Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    2Wawrinka S.Tirante T. A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Svrcina D. (8)Tirante T. A.2 : 1
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