Result
2:2
17/06/2023 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
- Referee: Koroleva E. (Usa)
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Chances of winning
New Mexico United
43.5% | Draw
27.3% | Rio Grande Valley
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Grande Valley's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.78) |
3.36 ↓
(3.5) |
3.13 ↓
(3.89) |
9.3%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley?
Users Predictions:
New Mexico United will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).
- Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (35.12%), project points - 34, currently - 12, a small chance of playoffs (12%), a very small chance of qtrs (4%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 13, small importance 22, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 1.
- Recent matches New Mexico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Rio Grande Valley is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- New Mexico will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Rio Grande Valley?
New Mexico United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Grande Valley won against New Mexico United?
Rio Grande Valley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley were as follows:
05.05.2023
Rio Grande Valley
-
New Mexico United
2:2
10.09.2022
Rio Grande Valley
-
New Mexico United
3:1
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Charleston | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 32:15 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 23 |
| 5 | Detroit | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 20 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 20:24 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 14 |
| 11 | Tampa Bay | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Hartford Athletic | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | -6 | 9 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New Mexico | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21:14 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | El Paso | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 23 |
| 3 | FC Tulsa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 | Monterey Bay | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Las Vegas Lights | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 18 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | Sacramento Republic | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:23 | -9 | 14 |
| 12 | Lexington | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 14 |
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It is being streamed on various channels, including:
