Result
2:2
17/06/2023 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
- Referee: Koroleva E. (Usa)
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Chances of winning
New Mexico United
43.5% | Draw
27.3% | Rio Grande Valley
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Grande Valley's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.78) |
3.36 ↓
(3.5) |
3.13 ↓
(3.89) |
9.3%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley?
Users Predictions:
New Mexico United will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).
- Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (35.12%), project points - 34, currently - 12, a small chance of playoffs (12%), a very small chance of qtrs (4%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 13, small importance 22, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 1.
- Recent matches New Mexico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Rio Grande Valley is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- New Mexico will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Rio Grande Valley?
New Mexico United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Grande Valley won against New Mexico United?
Rio Grande Valley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley were as follows:
05.05.2023
Rio Grande Valley
-
New Mexico United
2:2
10.09.2022
Rio Grande Valley
-
New Mexico United
3:1
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 52:19 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Loudoun | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 41:42 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 34 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:45 | -5 | 32 |
| 8 | Detroit | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 23 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 37 |
| 5 | Lexington | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 35 |
| 6 | El Paso | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 39:37 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 45:47 | -2 | 33 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:39 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 32:41 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 19:42 | -23 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Which TV channels are streaming of New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
