Monterey Bay vs Rio Grande Valley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley
29/04/2023 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
42.1%
Draw
26.6%
Rio Grande Valley
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 26.4% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 25.4% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.3)
    3.45
    (3.4)
    2.93
    (2.6)
    9%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • Monterey Bay has the most likely position - 11 (14.98%), project points - 41, currently - 11, a chance of playoffs (45%), a small chance of qtrs (14%), a very small chance of semis (5%), a very small chance of final (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (25.24%), project points - 37, currently - 6, a chance of playoffs (28%), a small chance of qtrs (9%), a very small chance of semis (3%), a very small chance of final (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 11, small importance 22, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Monterey Bay is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Rio Grande Valley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley were as follows:
    24.03.2023 Rio Grande Valley - Monterey Bay 1:1
    15.10.2022 Rio Grande Valley - Monterey Bay 4:1
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 28216155:193669
    2Charleston ✔ 27184559:293058
    3Hartford Athletic ✔ 281351046:321444
    4Loudoun ✔ 281261044:45-142
    5North Carolina ✔ 281251139:39041
    6Pittsburgh ✔ 281171029:28140
    7Rhode Island281071128:27137
    8Detroit28981131:33-235
    9Indy Eleven28951441:49-832
    10Tampa Bay28861439:47-830
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC28661625:42-1724


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 28158546:291753
    2New Mexico ✔ 281351040:37344
    3Sacramento Republic ✔ 27128741:241744
    4El Paso281010844:39540
    5San Antonio281071134:35-137
    6Phoenix Rising28812847:48-136
    7Orange County SC28981142:44-235
    8Lexington28981129:37-835
    9Colorado Springs28971234:44-1034
    10Oakland Roots28771436:49-1328
    11Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    12Las Vegas Lights28681422:48-2626

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
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