Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira).

: Liga Portugal - Round 32
Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.15	0.22
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
19	8
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
76% (198/260)	75% (228/303)
Yellow Cards
4	6
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15	0.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.09	0.22
Total shots
19	8
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
29	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	4
Free Kicks
16	17
Passes
76% (198/260)	75% (228/303)
Long passes
49% (24/49)	46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
68% (61/90)	60% (51/85)
Crosses
38% (6/16)	35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	0.73
Throw-ins
16	22
Fouls
17	16
Tackles
94% (16/17)	69% (18/26)
Duels won
48	69
Clearances
34	28
Interceptions
12	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.22	2.09
Goals prevented
0.22	-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Travassos 🟨,
20', Bakoulas T. 🟨,
22', Vrousai M. 🟨,
22', Kikas 🟨,
38', Clayton 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Pohlmann O. ↓, Novais J. ↑,
59', Bakoulas T. ↓, Neto M. ↑,
63', Bucca L. ↓, Chico Banza ↑,
63', Kikas ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
69', Ruiz A. 🟨,
71', Ruiz A. ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
76', Morais T. ↓, Kiko Bondoso ↑,
77', Drame I. 🟨,
78', 1 - 0, Clayton (Pen),
81', Montoia G. ↓, Mamede ↑,
81', Moreira P. ↓, Varela N. ↑,
87', Novais J. 🟨,
90+1', Rodrigo Pinho 🟨,
90+2', Varela N. 🟨,
90+2', Clayton ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,
90+2', Andre Luiz ↓, Tome J. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 0, Neto M. ⚽, Zoabi K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Rio Ave
39.3%

Draw
29.1%

Estrela da Amadora
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29.4%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

29.9%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+1%)

Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.45)	3.23 ↑ (3.23)	2.99 ↑ (2.96)	6.1% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Neutral location - Estádio da Capital do Móvel./
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 15)
Rio Ave is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Estrela has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rio Ave may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Estrela: Fabio Ronaldo (Inactive) Lopes M. (Injury) Varela N. (Injury)
There are questionable in Rio Ave: Kiko Bondoso (Inactive) Petrasso F. (Muscle Injury) Richards O. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Estrela: Mina J. (Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Estrela da Amadora?

Rio Ave has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Rio Ave?

Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:

23.12.2024 Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave 1:0

14.04.2024 Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave 2:2

02.12.2023 Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora 1:1

Latest results of Rio Ave

27.04.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave 3:0 ✺

22.04.2025 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 1:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Rio Ave - Santa Clara 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Moreirense - Rio Ave 0:2 ✺

07.04.2025 Rio Ave - Boavista 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Estrela da Amadora

26.04.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Porto 2:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Arouca - Estrela da Amadora 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Farense 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Nacional - Estrela da Amadora 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon 0:3 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sporting CP	33	24	7	2	86:27	59	79
2	Benfica	33	25	4	4	83:27	56	79
3	FC Porto	33	21	5	7	62:30	32	68
4	Braga	33	19	8	6	54:29	25	65
5	Vitoria Guimaraes	33	14	12	7	47:35	12	54
6	Santa Clara	33	16	6	11	34:31	3	54
7	Famalicao	34	12	11	11	44:39	5	47
8	Casa Pia	34	12	9	13	39:44	-5	45
9	Estoril	33	11	10	12	44:53	-9	43
10	Rio Ave	34	9	11	14	39:55	-16	38
11	Moreirense	33	9	10	14	39:50	-11	37
12	Arouca	33	8	11	14	31:48	-17	35
13	Gil Vicente	34	8	10	16	34:47	-13	34
14	Nacional	33	9	7	17	32:47	-15	34
15	Estrela	33	7	8	18	24:46	-22	29
16	AFS	33	5	12	16	25:57	-32	27
17	SC Farense	33	6	9	18	24:44	-20	27
18	Boavista	33	6	6	21	23:55	-32	24

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

Which TV channels are streaming of Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7