Rijeka vs Varaždin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Croatian HNL Rijeka - Varaždin
Result
1:2
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : HNL - Round 4
  • Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
Rijeka - Varaždin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.451.44
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
81% (340/419)79% (273/346)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.451.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.62
Total shots
915
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1714
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
2010
Passes
81% (340/419)79% (273/346)
Long passes
48% (25/52)48% (30/62)
Passes in final third
66% (61/93)71% (47/66)
Crosses
17% (4/24)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.27
Throw-ins
2723
Fouls
1120
Tackles
71% (10/14)68% (15/22)
Duels won
5354
Clearances
1131
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.620.64
Goals prevented
-0.38-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Fruk T. , Dantas T. (A),
  • 9', Tavares I. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Mamut I. (Pen),
  • 27', Belcar L. 🟨,
  • 28', Cop D. 🟨,
  • 37', Devetak M. 🟨,
  • 45', Mladenovski M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ilinkovic S. , Rukavina G. ,
  • 46', Cop D. , Menalo L. ,
  • 46', Devetak M. , Ndockyt M. ,
  • 68', Tavares I. , Abdullazada R. ,
  • 68', Ba L. , Puncec R. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Latkovic A. , Mamut I. (A),
  • 74', Jankovic N. , Juric A. ,
  • 76', Ndockyt M. 🟨,
  • 78', Skaricic L. , Tepsic N. ,
  • 78', Mamut I. , Puclin D. ,
  • 79', Lasickas J. , Gojak A. ,
  • 81', Puncec R. 🟨,
  • 82', Gojak A. 🟨,
  • 83', Latkovic A. , Dabro M. ,

Chances of winning


Rijeka
59.3%
Draw
24.8%
Varaždin
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 24.7% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 24.1% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Rijeka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Rijeka - Varaždin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.56)
    3.92
    (3.75)
    6.28
    (5.78)
    3.5%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Rijeka - Varaždin?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rijeka is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Rijeka: Skoric M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Varaždin: Ba L. (Inactive) Bockaj P. (Inactive) Mamic L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Varaždin: Barac M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Varaždin were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Rijeka - Varaždin 1:0
    01.02.2025 Varaždin - Rijeka 1:0
    26.10.2024 Rijeka - Varaždin 1:1
    11.08.2024 Varaždin - Rijeka 0:0
    11.05.2024 Varaždin - Rijeka 3:1
    Latest results of Rijeka
    21.08.2025 Rijeka - PAOK 1:0
    16.08.2025 Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb 0:2
    12.08.2025 Shelbourne - Rijeka 1:3
    09.08.2025 Osijek - Rijeka 0:0
    06.08.2025 Rijeka - Shelbourne 1:2
    Latest results of Varaždin
    17.08.2025 Varaždin - Osijek 0:0
    10.08.2025 Slaven Belupo - Varaždin 3:1
    04.08.2025 Varaždin - Gorica 1:1
    31.07.2025 Santa Clara - Varaždin 2:0
    24.07.2025 Varaždin - Santa Clara 2:1
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb541012:21013
    2Hajduk Split44009:1812
    3Lok. Zagreb42116:607
    4Varazdin51316:7-16
    5Slaven Belupo52036:9-36
    6Gorica51226:7-15
    7Istra 196151225:8-35
    8Rijeka41123:4-14
    9Osijek40220:4-42
    10Vukovar 199150234:9-52

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Prva NL

    Which TV channels are streaming of Rijeka - Varaždin?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
    croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    italyItalyComo TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
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