Osijek vs Rijeka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Croatian HNL Osijek - Rijeka
Result
0:0
09/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : HNL - Round 2
  • Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
Osijek - Rijeka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.940.57
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
86% (399/465)80% (243/303)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.940.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.06
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
93
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
86% (399/465)80% (243/303)
Long passes
48% (21/44)49% (27/55)
Passes in final third
79% (118/149)65% (53/81)
Crosses
23% (5/22)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.67
Throw-ins
2622
Fouls
1910
Tackles
68% (13/19)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5250
Clearances
2130
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.060.28
Goals prevented
0.060.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Ilinkovic S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Shopov S. 🟨,
  • 55', Menalo L. 🟨,
  • 57', Ilinkovic S. , Dantas T. ,
  • 57', Menalo L. , Ndockyt M. ,
  • 57', Cop D. , Juric A. ,
  • 68', Fruk T. , Rukavina G. ,
  • 69', Zivkovic F. , Mikolcic S. ,
  • 78', Orec A. , Lasickas J. ,
  • 81', Petrovic D. 🟥,
  • 84', Vrbancic L. 🟨,
  • 85', Shopov S. , Colina D. ,
  • 86', Renan Guedes 🟨,
  • 89', Lasickas J. 🟨,
  • 89', Dantas T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Osijek
31.5%
Draw
30.2%
Rijeka
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 29.6% 52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7% 28.9% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osijek's performance.
  • Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rijeka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osijek that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rijeka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Osijek - Rijeka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (5.16)
    3.14
    (3.16)
    2.42
    (1.79)
    6.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Osijek - Rijeka?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Rijeka will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 19.9%64.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Osijek (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rijeka (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 2.
    • Recent performances by Osijek have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rijeka has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • Rijeka could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Osijek: Jakupovic A. (Inactive) Jurisic R. (Broken Leg) Matkovic A. (Knee Injury) Mersinaj J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Rijeka: Skoric M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rijeka: Petrovic D. (Inactive) Rukavina G. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Rijeka were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Rijeka - Osijek 0:2
    16.02.2025 Osijek - Rijeka 0:2
    10.11.2024 Rijeka - Osijek 1:1
    25.08.2024 Osijek - Rijeka 0:2
    19.05.2024 Osijek - Rijeka 2:0
    Latest results of Osijek
    02.08.2025 Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb 0:2
    25.07.2025 Osijek - Slaven Belupo 4:0
    24.07.2025 Osijek - Cibalia 1:1
    17.07.2025 Osijek - Ujpest 0:1
    16.07.2025 Osijek - Dynamo Kyiv 1:0
    Latest results of Rijeka
    06.08.2025 Rijeka - Shelbourne 1:2
    03.08.2025 Rijeka - Slaven Belupo 2:0
    13.07.2025 Rijeka - Göztepe 0:1
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22005:056
    2Rijeka21102:024
    3Lok. Zagreb21103:214
    4Hajduk Split11002:113
    5Slaven Belupo21013:303
    6Gorica10101:101
    7Istra 196120113:4-11
    8Varazdin20112:4-21
    9Osijek20110:2-21
    10Vukovar 199120020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Relegation ~ Prva NL

    Which TV channels are streaming of Osijek - Rijeka?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
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