Result
2:5
25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (204/278) | 88% (451/513) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 3.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (204/278) | 88% (451/513) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 58% (35/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (42/71) | 84% (124/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 35% (9/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.19 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 18', Samoilovs B. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Lemajic D. ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 2, Talla M. ⚽,
- 40', Pulis I. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 3, Nagasawa M. ⚽, Mares P. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Lipuscek Z. ↓, Stuglis E. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 3, Krancmanis A. ⚽, Dusalijevs N. (A),
- 52', 2 - 3, Samoilovs B. ⚽, Dusalijevs N. (A),
- 67', 2 - 4, Lemajic D. ⚽,
- 70', Nagasawa M. ↓, Ikaunieks J. ↑,
- 72', Krancmanis A. ↓, Joksts H. ↑,
- 72', Anmanis ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
- 77', Kholod A. ↓, Kacanovs G. ↑,
- 77', Samoilovs B. ↓, Putrans D. ↑,
- 82', Dusalijevs N. ↓, Sirbu D. ↑,
- 82', Zelenkovs D. ↓, Porsan Clemente J. ↑,
- 85', Rogovs D. 🟨,
- 85', Panic S. 🟨,
- 90', Talla M. ↓, Saidy M. ↑,
- 90', Savalnieks R. ↓, Sibass R. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 5, Ikaunieks J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tukums 2000
7.2% | Draw
13.5% | RFS
79.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RFS's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RFS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tukums 2000 - RFS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
12.69 ↑
(9.4) |
6.79 ↑
(4.33) |
1.16 ↓
(1.31) |
8.9%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 0.
- Tukums 2000 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- RFS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- RFS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, RFS is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:41. (average 0.9:3.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 1.4:4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against RFS?
Tukums 2000 has won 0 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Tukums 2000?
RFS has won 10 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - RFS were as follows:
09.04.2025
RFS
-
Tukums 2000
2:0
20.10.2024
RFS
-
Tukums 2000
4:1
27.07.2024
Tukums 2000
-
RFS
1:4
25.05.2024
Tukums 2000
-
RFS
0:1
12.04.2024
RFS
-
Tukums 2000
5:0
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 48:12 | 36 | 51 |
| 2 | RFS | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 44:18 | 26 | 46 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 32 |
| 4 | Auda | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Grobina | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20:39 | -19 | 19 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20:39 | -19 | 15 |
| 10 | Metta | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17:40 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Tukums 2000 - RFS?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
