Result
2:5
03/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 3.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (236/307) | 84% (397/470) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 3.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 40 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (236/307) | 84% (397/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (34/61) | 63% (40/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (27/48) | 65% (99/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 42 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.74 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 10', 0 - 1, Iago Siqueira ⚽, Diop M. (A),
- 15', 0 - 2, Babic A. (Own goal),
- 27', 0 - 3, Regza M. (Pen),
- 29', 1 - 3, Dodo ⚽, Samba T. (A),
- 35', 2 - 3, Vientiess O. ⚽, Iljins K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 59', 2 - 4, Diop M. ⚽, Pena B. (A),
- 61', Iago Siqueira ↓, Jackson Kenio ↑,
- 65', Melnis B. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 65', Dodo ↓, Doudou P. ↑,
- 75', Samba T. ↓, Diaw M. ↑,
- 75', Gueye D. ↓, Domjanic N. ↑,
- 76', Lausic M. ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
- 78', Doudou P. 🟨,
- 81', Diop M. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 5, Pena B. ⚽,
- 83', Pena B. ↓, Taiwo A. ↑,
- 83', Regza M. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
- 84', Taiwo A. 🟨,
- 87', Galo O. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
- 88', Jurkovskis R. ↓, Tonisevs M. ↑,
- 90', Korobenko A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Liepāja
13.8% | Draw
20.5% | Riga
65.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liepāja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Liepāja - Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.65 ↑
(5.14) |
4.47 ↑
(4.37) |
1.4 ↓
(1.5) |
9.1%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - Riga?
The most likely score is 0:2.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 0.
- Liepāja is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Riga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Riga is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 11:40 (average 0.6:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Liepāja won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:17 (average 0.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Riga?
Liepāja has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against Liepāja?
Riga has won 9 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Riga were as follows:
29.09.2024
Riga
-
Liepāja
1:0
07.07.2024
Liepāja
-
Riga
0:3
14.05.2024
Liepāja
-
Riga
1:1
04.04.2024
Riga
-
Liepāja
4:0
25.09.2023
Riga
-
Liepāja
3:1
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | 20 | 30 |
| 2 | RFS | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 28 |
| 3 | Auda | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Jelgava | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 18 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 | Metta | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:25 | -13 | 12 |
| 8 | Grobina | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:25 | -12 | 12 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Tukums 2000 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Liepāja - Riga?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
