Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Richmond Tigers - North Melbourne Kangaroos
Result
74:78
17/05/2025 at 23:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 10
Richmond Tigers - North Melbourne Kangaroos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1112
Behinds
86
Kicks
175191
Handballs
158128
Disposals
333319
Frees For
1719
Frees Against
1917
Clearances Completed
3353
Marks
7264
Tackles
8992
Hitouts
5155

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (13 - 36)
  • 07:50, Zurhaar C. (G),
  • 09:09, Davies-Uniacke L. (G),
  • 10:38, Sims T. (G),
  • 17:20, Darling J. (G),
  • 21:39, Zurhaar C. (G),
  • 23:20, Maley F. (G),
  • 25:16, Hopper J. (Behind),
  • 26:33, Campbell S. (G),
  • 31:17, McKercher C. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (25 - 7)
  • 02:18, Lalor S. (G),
  • 04:46, Ralphsmith H. (G),
  • 15:11, (Behind Rushed),
  • 16:50, Lalor S. (G),
  • 20:48, Campbell S. (G),
  • 29:48, Campbell S. (Behind),
  • 32:47, Zurhaar C. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (22 - 22)
  • 00:34, Sheezel H. (Behind),
  • 03:41, McIntosh K. (G),
  • 05:19, Davies-Uniacke L. (Behind),
  • 07:00, Banks S. (Behind),
  • 09:10, Lynch T. (Behind),
  • 11:45, Campbell S. (Behind),
  • 13:19, Larkey N. (G),
  • 17:41, Konstanty J. (G),
  • 19:28, Maley F. (Behind),
  • 20:35, Campbell S. (G),
  • 22:13, Zurhaar C. (G),
  • 25:00, Lalor S. (Behind),
  • 27:56, Lynch T. (G),
  • 30:41, Duursma Z. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (14 - 13)
  • 03:54, McIntosh K. (G),
  • 05:57, Larkey N. (G),
  • 08:39, Darling J. (G),
  • 13:54, Darling J. (Behind),
  • 17:24, Lynch T. (G),
  • 20:17, McAuliffe K. (Behind),
  • 24:03, Taranto T. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Richmond Tigers
38.6%
North Melbourne Kangaroos
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Richmond Tigers's form might have worsened.
  • North Melbourne Kangaroos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Melbourne Kangaroos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Melbourne Kangaroos than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Melbourne Kangaroos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Richmond Tigers - North Melbourne Kangaroos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.13)

    1.52
    (1.73)
    7.3%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 3.
    • Richmond has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • North Melbourne has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Richmond may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • North Melbourne might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1432:1445. (average 79.6:80.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 741:549. (average 82.3:61).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Richmond Tigers - North Melbourne Kangaroos were as follows:
    02.08.2024 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Richmond Tigers 90:77
    18.08.2023 Richmond Tigers - North Melbourne Kangaroos 101:72
    Latest results of Richmond Tigers
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1311021197:893134.0444
    2Brisbane Lions139131128:1002112.5738
    3Adelaide Crows139041313:957137.2036
    4Geelong Cats139041275:1010126.2436
    5Gold Coast Suns128041114:904123.2332
    6Hawthorn Hawks138051150:1029111.7632
    7GWS Giants137061081:1008107.2428
    8Fremantle Dockers127051013:952106.4128
    9Western Bulldogs126061210:991122.1024
    10Essendon Bombers12606891:104984.9424
    11Carlton Blues12507967:935103.4220
    12St Kilda Saints12507993:106793.0620
    13Sydney Swans135081004:111490.1320
    14Melbourne Demons135081023:115988.2720
    15Port Adelaide Power12507901:110681.4620
    16North Melbourne12318936:117179.9314
    17Richmond Tigers133010853:122969.4112
    18West Coast Eagles131012892:136565.354

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