Náutico Capibaribe vs Retrô Brasil: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie C Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil
Result
3:0
03/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - First stage - Round 15
Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
41
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
119
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Franco R. 🟨,
  • 23', Mateus Silva , Joao Maistro ,
  • 29', Lucas Cardoso , Patrick Allan ,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Patrick Allan ,
  • 45', Tales 🟨,
  • 45', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Vinicius ,
  • 49', Vinicius 🟨,
  • 51', 3 - 0, Helio Borges ,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 71', Vinicius , Kayon ,
  • 71', Helio Borges , Igor Bolt ,
  • 71', Igor Pereira , Auremir ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 81', Gledson , Danillo ,
  • 90+1', Igor Fernandes 🟨,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
54.1%
Draw
29.2%
Retrô Brasil
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 28.5% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 27% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.62)
    3.11
    (3.18)
    5.42
    (5.86)
    10.1%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Náutico (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Náutico Capibaribe will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 2.
    • Náutico is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Retrô has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Retrô may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Náutico is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Náutico will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil were as follows:
    03.03.2025 Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil 0:1
    02.02.2025 Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe 1:0
    17.03.2024 Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe 1:1
    10.03.2024 Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil 1:0
    18.02.2024 Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe 1:0
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Retrô Brasil
    30.07.2025 Bahia - Retrô Brasil 3:2
    26.07.2025 Retrô Brasil - Ypiranga 0:0
    20.07.2025 Brusque - Retrô Brasil 1:2
    05.07.2025 Ituano - Retrô Brasil 2:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias16120426:17936
    2Nautico1685320:61429
    3Sao Bernardo1685318:9929
    4Ponte Preta1683516:15127
    5Londrina1675424:16826
    6Floresta EC1666413:13024
    7Brusque1664616:15122
    8Ypiranga FC1663713:17-421
    9CSA1556418:16221
    10Confianca1655619:21-220
    11Guarani1655613:15-220
    12Ituano1655615:18-320
    13Botafogo PB1654719:17219
    14Anapolis1647513:17-419
    15Maringa FC1538419:21-217
    16ABC16211316:19-317
    17Figueirense1537516:16016
    18Itabaiana1543812:17-515
    19Retro163496:19-1313
    20Tombense1626812:20-812

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

    Which TV channels are streaming of Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping
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