Istiklol Dushanbe vs Regar-TadAZ: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Tajik Super Cup Istiklol Dushanbe - Regar-TadAZ
Result
2:1 penalties
25/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Cup - Final
Istiklol Dushanbe - Regar-TadAZ - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Makhamadiev S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 83', 1 - 1, Akpudje J. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Nazarov A. (Pen),
  • 1, Babadzhanov N. (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, Ergashev D. (Pen),
  • 3, Sulaymonov S. (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Istiklol Dushanbe
62.7%
Draw
25.1%
Regar-TadAZ
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 26.1% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25.6% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Istiklol Dushanbe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Istiklol Dushanbe's performance.
  • Regar-TadAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Regar-TadAZ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istiklol Dushanbe than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Istiklol Dushanbe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Regar-TadAZ than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Regar-TadAZ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Istiklol Dushanbe - Regar-TadAZ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.77)
    3.65
    (3.48)
    7.51
    (4.05)
    9.2%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Hisor Central Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istiklol won 4.
    • Istiklol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Regar-TadAZ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Istiklol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Istiklol is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Istiklol won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 37:10. (average 3.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Istiklol won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:6. (average 2.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Istiklol Dushanbe - Regar-TadAZ were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Istiklol Dushanbe - Regar-TadAZ 2:1
    08.08.2023 Istiklol Dushanbe - Regar-TadAZ 5:0
    12.04.2023 Regar-TadAZ - Istiklol Dushanbe 1:1
    Latest results of Istiklol Dushanbe
    Latest results of Regar-TadAZ
    11.05.2025 Hulbuk - Regar-TadAZ 0:3
    28.04.2025 Regar-TadAZ - CSKA-Pomir 0:1
    14.04.2025 Istaravshan - Regar-TadAZ 2:4
    Draw
    2025

    Final
    1Istiqlol DushanbeRegar-TadAZ2 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Istiklol Dushanbe - Regar-TadAZ?
    It is being streamed on channel
    tajikistanTajikistanVarzish Sport
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