Troyes vs Red Star: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Troyes - Red Star
Result
2:2
05/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Chapapria R. (Fra)
Troyes - Red Star - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.02
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
77% (242/316)82% (390/477)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.97
Total shots
810
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1721
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
717
Passes
77% (242/316)82% (390/477)
Long passes
38% (20/52)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
68% (73/107)65% (70/108)
Crosses
42% (8/19)30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.82
Fouls
177
Tackles
93% (13/14)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3949
Clearances Total
2918
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.971.56
Goals prevented
-1.03-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Irie C. , M'Changama Y. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Mbock H. , Hachem R. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 2, Ifnaoui M. ,
  • 40', 2 - 2, M'Changama Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Mendes H. 🟨,
  • 61', de Preville N. , El Idrissy M. ,
  • 73', Diop M. , Adeline M. ,
  • 75', Monfray A. 🟨,
  • 80', Irie C. , Detourbet M. ,
  • 80', Phliponeau A. , Kante A. ,
  • 82', Mendy B. , Escartin J. ,
  • 82', Benali H. , Cisse K. ,
  • 82', Durand D. , Badji A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/88wfvzme

Chances of winning


Troyes
51.3%
Draw
28.2%
Red Star
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 27.3% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 27.6% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Troyes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Troyes - Red Star Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.83)
    3.34
    (3.43)
    4.54
    (4.38)
    5.7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Troyes - Red Star?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Troyes will win! (12 of 12 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Troyes is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M. (Injury) Ripart R. (Knee Injury) Tahrat M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Red Star: Avognan W. (Injury) Danger B. (Injury) Doucoure R. (Injury) Mendy B. (Injury) Slimani R. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:3 (average 2.6:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Red Star were as follows:
    08.11.2024 Red Star - Troyes 0:3
    Latest results of Troyes
    28.03.2025 Metz - Troyes 2:1
    14.03.2025 Troyes - Guingamp 0:1
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    28.02.2025 Troyes - Bastia 2:0
    21.02.2025 Paris FC - Troyes 1:0
    Latest results of Red Star
    28.03.2025 Red Star - Rodez 1:1
    14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1
    07.03.2025 Red Star - Amiens 2:0
    01.03.2025 Red Star - Guingamp 3:1
    21.02.2025 Bastia - Red Star 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz1 : 3, 1 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Troyes - Red Star?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
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