Mirassol vs Red Bull Bragantino: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino
Result
1:1
01/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 26
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.57
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
125
Passes
85% (381/450)72% (207/286)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.921.30
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
125
Touches in opposition box
2518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
85% (381/450)72% (207/286)
Long passes
80% (32/40)40% (27/68)
Passes in final third
78% (112/143)70% (70/100)
Crosses
27% (11/41)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.40
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1318
Tackles
53% (9/17)75% (12/16)
Duels won
7047
Clearances
3239
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.300.92
Goals prevented
0.30-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Eric Ramires ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gustavo Neves , Alix Vinicius ,
  • 50', Cleiton 🟨,
  • 59', Vanderlan 🟨,
  • 66', Neto Moura , Jose Aldo ,
  • 66', Gabriel , Guilherme ,
  • 67', Borbas T. , Fernando ,
  • 72', Gabriel 🟨,
  • 74', Vanderlan , Laquintana I. ,
  • 74', Mosquera H. , Juninho Capixaba ,
  • 74', Hurtado A. , Nathan Mendes ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Reinaldo , Alesson (A),
  • 76', Neto Moura 🟨,
  • 77', Negueba , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 78', Chico , Cristian Renato ,
  • 80', Reinaldo 🟨,
  • 88', Alesson , Matheus Bianqui ,

Chances of winning


Mirassol
51.6%
Draw
27.1%
Red Bull Bragantino
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 29.3% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 28.7% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.
  • Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (2.1)
    3.59
    (3.2)
    4.63
    (3.6)
    5.3%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.75%93.25%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirassol will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
    • Mirassol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • RB Bragantino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mirassol is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Chico (Injury) Edson Carioca (Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes (Knee Injury) Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Fabinho (Yellow Cards) Jhon Jhon (Yellow Cards) Pitta I. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Sasha (Injury) Juninho Capixaba (Knee Injury) Praxedes (Thigh Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Knock)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol 1:0
    20.02.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol 3:0
    11.02.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol 0:0
    Latest results of Mirassol
    21.09.2025 Mirassol - Juventude 2:0
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3
    13.09.2025 Grêmio - Mirassol 0:1
    31.08.2025 Mirassol - Bahia 5:1
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras25174442:212155
    2Flamengo RJ26167350:133755
    3Cruzeiro27157540:202052
    4Mirassol271210544:291546
    5Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    6Bahia26127734:30443
    7Fluminense261151034:33138
    8Sao Paulo27108931:28338
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Ceara26971026:24234
    11Vasco27961242:41133
    12Corinthians27891029:32-333
    13Gremio27891028:33-533
    14Atletico-MG26881025:30-532
    15Internacional26881032:38-632
    16Santos26771225:38-1328
    17Vitoria275101224:42-1825
    18Fortaleza26661426:41-1524
    19Juventude26651521:48-2723
    20Sport Recife262101420:41-2116

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
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