Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad
16/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 28
  • Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)
Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.57
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
108
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
31
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
33
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
916
Offsides
25
Fouls
169
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
2024
Touches in the Opposition Box
1219
Passes
80% (358/450)75% (270/362)
Passes in the final third
68% (71/104)64% (90/141)
Crosses
18% (4/22)24% (4/17)
Tackles
60% (9/15)55% (11/20)
Clearances Total
3735
Interceptions
107

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Lopez J. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Zubimendi M. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
  • 39', Guardiola S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lopez J. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
  • 55', Guardiola S. ↓, Eto'o E. ↑,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Trejo O. ⚽, Ratiu A. (A),
  • 60', Barrenetxea A. 🟨,
  • 62', Trejo O. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
  • 63', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
  • 63', Oskarsson O. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Diaz P. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
  • 74', Lejeune F. 🟨,
  • 76', Ciss P. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
  • 76', de Frutos J. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
  • 76', Diaz P. ↓, Pacha ↑,
  • 76', Olasagasti J. A. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Mariezkurrena A. ⚽,
  • 90+1', Gomez S. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
  • 90+2', Pacha 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
40.1%		Draw
32.1%		Real Sociedad
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 29.6% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 29.8% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.4 ↓
    (2.61)    		 2.99 ↓
    (3.24)    		 3.44 ↑
    (2.86)    		 4.1%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
    •
    What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad?
  • Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 42 - 65.6%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 7 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 23.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 54% – 77.2%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 1.
    • Rayo Vallecano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Real Sociedad has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury) Montiel J. (Ankle Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Hamstring Injury) Palazon I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Mendez B. (Foot Injury) Odriozola A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Pacheco J. (Muscle Injury) Sucic L. (Injury) Zakharyan A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Fernandez P. (Injury) de Tomas R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23:33 (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad were as follows:
    16.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 3:1
    18.08.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 1:2
    27.01.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:0
    29.10.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad 2:2
    22.04.2023 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    09.03.2025 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 0:1 ✺
    17.02.2025 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺
    07.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    13.03.2025 Manchester United - Real Sociedad 4:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Real Sociedad - Sevilla 0:1 ✺
    06.03.2025 Real Sociedad - Manchester United 1:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Barcelona - Real Sociedad 4:0 ✺
    26.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad?
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