Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad
16/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 28
  • Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)
Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.57
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
108
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
31
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
33
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
916
Offsides
25
Fouls
169
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
2024
Touches in the Opposition Box
1219
Passes
80% (358/450)75% (270/362)
Passes in the final third
68% (71/104)64% (90/141)
Crosses
18% (4/22)24% (4/17)
Tackles
60% (9/15)55% (11/20)
Clearances Total
3735
Interceptions
107

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Lopez J. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Zubimendi M. , Gomez S. (A),
  • 39', Guardiola S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lopez J. , Munoz A. ,
  • 55', Guardiola S. , Eto'o E. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Trejo O. , Ratiu A. (A),
  • 60', Barrenetxea A. 🟨,
  • 62', Trejo O. , Lopez U. ,
  • 63', Barrenetxea A. , Turrientes B. ,
  • 63', Oskarsson O. , Oyarzabal M. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Diaz P. , Garcia A. (A),
  • 74', Lejeune F. 🟨,
  • 76', Ciss P. , Valentin O. ,
  • 76', de Frutos J. , Embarba A. ,
  • 76', Diaz P. , Pacha ,
  • 76', Olasagasti J. A. , Mariezkurrena A. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Mariezkurrena A. ,
  • 90+1', Gomez S. , Marin P. ,
  • 90+2', Pacha 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
40.1%
Draw
32.1%
Real Sociedad
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 29.6% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 29.8% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.61)
    2.99
    (3.24)
    3.44
    (2.86)
    4.1%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 1.
    • Rayo Vallecano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Real Sociedad has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury) Montiel J. (Ankle Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Hamstring Injury) Palazon I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Mendez B. (Foot Injury) Odriozola A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Pacheco J. (Muscle Injury) Sucic L. (Injury) Zakharyan A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Fernandez P. (Injury) de Tomas R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23:33 (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad were as follows:
    16.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 3:1
    18.08.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 1:2
    27.01.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:0
    29.10.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad 2:2
    22.04.2023 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 36274597:366185
    2Real Madrid ✔ 36246674:383678
    3Atl. Madrid ✔ 362010660:293170
    4Ath Bilbao ✔ 361813553:262767
    5Villarreal361810864:471764
    6Betis361611955:451059
    7Celta Vigo361571456:54252
    8Rayo Vallecano3612121239:44-548
    9Osasuna3611151045:51-648
    10Mallorca361381534:42-847
    11Valencia3611121343:52-945
    12Real Sociedad361271732:42-1043
    13Girona361181742:53-1141
    14Sevilla3610111540:49-941
    15Getafe361091731:36-539
    16Espanyol361091738:49-1139
    17Alaves369111636:47-1138
    18Leganes367131635:56-2134
    19Las Palmas ✔ 36882040:58-1832
    20Valladolid ✔ 36442826:86-6016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Atl. Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Ath Bilbao is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Las Palmas is Relegated to LaLiga2
    Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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