Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano
05/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
46%
Draw
27.4%
Rayo Vallecano
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 27.7% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.3% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.12)
    3.51
    (3.42)
    3.62
    (3.42)
    3.9%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Real Sociedad might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    16.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 3:1
    18.08.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 1:2
    27.01.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:0
    29.10.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad 2:2
    22.04.2023 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    28.09.2025 Barcelona - Real Sociedad 2:1
    24.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Mallorca 1:0
    19.09.2025 Betis - Real Sociedad 3:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona761021:51619
    2Real Madrid760116:8818
    3Villarreal751113:5816
    4Elche734010:6413
    5Atl. Madrid733114:9512
    6Betis733111:7412
    7Espanyol733110:9112
    8Getafe73228:9-111
    9Sevilla731311:10110
    10Ath Bilbao73137:8-110
    11Alaves72236:7-18
    12Valencia62228:10-28
    13Osasuna72145:7-27
    14Levante712411:14-35
    15Rayo Vallecano71247:10-35
    16Celta Vigo70526:9-35
    17Real Sociedad71247:11-45
    18Mallorca71246:11-55
    19R. Oviedo61052:11-93
    20Girona70343:16-133

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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