Real Sociedad vs PAOK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League Real Sociedad - PAOK
Result
2:0
30/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)
Real Sociedad - PAOK - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.17
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
1612
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
45
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Free Kicks
812
Offsides
02
Fouls
128
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1221
Touches in the Opposition Box
3517
Passes
89% (522/587)87% (431/494)
Passes in the final third
85% (120/141)71% (85/120)
Crosses
39% (7/18)11% (1/9)
Tackles
62% (8/13)33% (3/9)
Clearances Total
2028
Interceptions
117

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Ozdoev M. 🟨,
  • 39', Odriozola A. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Oskarsson O. , Becker S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Odriozola A. , Martin J. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Oskarsson O. , Elustondo A. (A),
  • 49', Thomas B. 🟨,
  • 64', Ozdoev M. , Konstantelias G. ,
  • 64', Zubimendi M. , Olasagasti J. A. ,
  • 71', Thomas B. , Chalov F. ,
  • 71', Despodov K. , Shoretire S. ,
  • 74', Barrenetxea A. , Kubo T. ,
  • 74', Oskarsson O. , Oyarzabal M. ,
  • 75', Olasagasti J. A. 🟨,
  • 81', Gomez S. , Lopez J. ,

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
54%
Draw
26.7%
PAOK
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 24.2% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 22.9% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Real Sociedad - PAOK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.64)
    3.59
    (3.93)
    4.95
    (5.34)
    4.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - PAOK?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 34 - 68%). PAOK will win (votes: 6 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 55.1%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently PAOK have a series of home games.
    • In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Munoz A. (Red Card) Traore H. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PAOK: Lovren D. (Ankle Injury) Murg T. (Illness) Pavlenka J. (Inactive) Pena S. (Inactive) Samatta A. (Inactive) Vieirinha (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in PAOK: Colley O. (Muscle Injury) Gomez J. (Illness) Zivkovic A. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    26.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Getafe 0:3
    23.01.2025 Lazio - Real Sociedad 3:1
    19.01.2025 Valencia - Real Sociedad 1:0
    13.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Villarreal 1:0
    Latest results of PAOK
    26.01.2025 PAOK - Levadiakos 1:0
    23.01.2025 PAOK - Slavia Prague 2:0
    19.01.2025 Aris - PAOK 0:0
    12.01.2025 PAOK - Volos 1:2
    09.01.2025 PAOK - AEK Athens 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    24ByeYoung Boys
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ByeYoung Boys
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 2
    6ByeYoung Boys
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 2
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 3
    21HackenBrann0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC0 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    3ByeYoung Boys
    4ByeSigma Olomouc
    5TBD #9Samsunspor
    6AberdeenTBD #12
    7ByeGenk
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
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