Real Sociedad vs Ajax: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League
Soccer UEFA Europa League Real Sociedad - Ajax
Result
2:0
28/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Jug M. (Slo)
Real Sociedad - Ajax - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.74
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1212
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
64
Blocked Shots
35
Free Kicks
1720
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
1516
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Fouls
2017
Yellow Cards
32
Total Passes
429384
Completed Passes
352310
Crosses Completed
46
Interceptions
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Mendez B. 🟨,
  • 34', Brobbey B. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
  • 45+4', Elustondo A. ↓, Aramburu J. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sucic L. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
  • 65', Becker S. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
  • 65', Berghuis S. ↓, van den Boomen B. ↑,
  • 65', Traore B. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Barrenetxea A. ⚽, Kubo T. (A),
  • 74', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Hlynsson K. ↑,
  • 74', Hato J. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
  • 81', Wijndal O. 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 0, Kubo T. ⚽,
  • 87', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
  • 87', Kubo T. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
  • 89', van den Boomen B. 🟨,
  • 90', Aramburu J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Munoz A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
50.2%		Draw
27.2%		Ajax
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 26.1% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 28.3% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-4%)
    •

    Real Sociedad - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.91 ↑
    (1.7)    		 3.54 ↑
    (3.5)    		 4.26 ↓
    (4.5)    		 4%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
    •
    What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 11.5% – 55.1%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ajax is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ajax could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Real Sociedad have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Oskarsson O. (Muscle Injury) Traore H. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Godts M. (Knee Injury) Taylor K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Avila G. (Knee Injury) Mannsverk S. (Ankle Injury) Rijkhoff J. (Knee Injury) Weghorst W. (Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Knock)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    24.11.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 1:0 ✺
    21.11.2024 Jove Español San Vicente - Real Sociedad 0:5 ✺
    10.11.2024 Real Sociedad - Barcelona 1:0 ✺
    07.11.2024 Viktoria Plzeň - Real Sociedad 2:1 ✺
    03.11.2024 Sevilla - Real Sociedad 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Ajax
    24.11.2024 Ajax - Zwolle 2:0 ✺
    10.11.2024 Twente - Ajax 2:2 ✺
    07.11.2024 Ajax - Maccabi Tel Aviv 5:0 ✺
    02.11.2024 Ajax - PSV Eindhoven 3:2 ✺
    30.10.2024 Feyenoord - Ajax 0:2 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    24ByeYoung Boys
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ByeYoung Boys
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 2
    6ByeYoung Boys
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 2
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 3
    21HackenBrann0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC0 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    3ByeYoung Boys
    4ByeSigma Olomouc
    5TBD #9Samsunspor
    6AberdeenTBD #12
    7ByeGenk
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
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