Patriotas vs Real Cundinamarca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera B Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca
Result
0:1
04/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera B - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 4
Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
95
Shots on target
41
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
44
Total shots
95
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
51
Goalkeeper Saves
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Figueroa F. , Perea J. ,
  • 34', Payares L. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Asprilla Moreno J. (Pen),
  • 45+6', Rocha A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Garavito M. , Porras C. ,
  • 46', Brochero R. , Alvarez K. ,
  • 52', Hurtado J. 🟨,
  • 60', Sarria E. , Melendez A. ,
  • 61', Melendez A. 🟨,
  • 72', Asprilla Moreno J. 🟨,
  • 77', Salazar Sandoval K. A. , Renteria L. ,
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 80', Torres F. 🟨,
  • 85', Castano C. , Camacho I. ,
  • 90+1', Parra G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', (Pen),
  • 90+5', Rocha A. , Vega Y. ,
  • 90+5', Hoyos J. , Moreno J. ,
  • 90+8', Asprilla Moreno J. , Cundumi I. ,

Chances of winning


Patriotas
51.1%
Draw
28%
Real Cundinamarca
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 26.1% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 25.4% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patriotas's form might have worsened.
  • Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patriotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.63)
    3.31
    (3.55)
    4.42
    (5.45)
    8.2%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Patriotas (votes: 1 - 50%). Real Cundinamarca (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Patriotas will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Patriotas is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Patriotas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Real Cundinamarca - Patriotas 0:1
    29.03.2025 Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca 0:1
    07.02.2025 Real Cundinamarca - Patriotas 0:0
    15.09.2023 Real Cundinamarca - Patriotas 1:1
    Latest results of Patriotas
    Latest results of Real Cundinamarca
    Colombian Primera B Table
    Apertura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jaguares de Cordoba ✔ 44009:4512
    2Cartagena42027:616
    3Inter Palmira42024:406
    4Tigres40041:7-60


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cucuta53025:9-49
    2Huila52128:627
    3Patriotas52124:407
    4Real Cundinamarca52037:526

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

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