Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Cup Real San Joaquín - Santiago Morning
Result
1:0 penalties
15/06/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHILE: Chilean Cup - 1/32-finals
Real San Joaquín - Santiago Morning - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', 🟥,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Real San Joaquín
23.4%
Draw
25.1%
Santiago Morning
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 25.3% 52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22% 25% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real San Joaquín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Real San Joaquín - Santiago Morning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (4.05)
    3.61
    (3.56)
    1.76
    (1.73)
    10.7%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Real San Joaquín is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Santiago Morning is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Real San Joaquín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Santiago Morning is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Santiago Morning
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LimacheCobreloa3 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Union La CaleraCoquimbo1 : 4, 1 : 2
    3AntofagastaS. Wanderers2 : 3, 0 : 3
    4La SerenaSan Luis4 : 1, 1 : 3
    5U. De ChileCurico Unido2 : 2, 1 : 2
    6A. ItalianoDeportes Temuco2 : 0, 2 : 1
    7NublenseMagallanes2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8HuachipatoD. Concepcion2 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1LimacheCoquimbo3 : 2, 2 : 1
    2S. WanderersLa Serena1 : 5, 2 : 4
    3Curico UnidoA. Italiano0 : 1, 0 : 1
    4NublenseHuachipato1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1LimacheLa Serena
    2A. ItalianoHuachipato
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