Real Oviedo vs Málaga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/03/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo).

: LaLiga2 - Round 33
Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.79
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	8
Passes
78% (253/326)	79% (379/478)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	1.43
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
23	22
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
6	9
Passes
78% (253/326)	79% (379/478)
Long passes
48% (21/44)	45% (31/69)
Passes in final third
73% (72/99)	63% (55/88)
Crosses
18% (4/22)	18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	0.43
Fouls
9	6
Tackles
52% (11/21)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
51	43
Clearances Total
21	18
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.43	0.40
Goals prevented
0.43	-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Luengo O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', Cazorla S. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
69', Vinas F. ↓, Alemao ↑,
69', Chaira I. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
70', Cordero A. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Colombatto S. ⚽, Calvo D. (A),
78', Larrubia D. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
78', Luismi ↓, Dioni ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Dioni ⚽, Medina K. (A),
85', Hassan H. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
88', Chupe ↓, Rahmani Y. ↑,
88', Lobete J. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Molina M. (Own goal),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mry7sb8x

Chances of winning

Real Oviedo
55.7%

Draw
26.8%

Málaga
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

26.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

24.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1%)

Real Oviedo - Málaga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	3.5 ↓ (3.57)	5.32 ↓ (5.43)	6.7% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Málaga?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 3.
Oviedo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Oviedo is a favorite.
There will not play in Oviedo: Costas D. (Yellow Cards) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Gabilondo J. (Yellow Cards) Juanpe (Yellow Cards) Lorenzo D. (Inactive) Merino I. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Oviedo: Cazorla S. (Inactive)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.7:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Oviedo won against Málaga?

Real Oviedo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Real Oviedo?

Málaga has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Málaga were as follows:

19.10.2024 Málaga - Real Oviedo 0:0

03.02.2023 Málaga - Real Oviedo 0:1

24.10.2022 Real Oviedo - Málaga 1:0

Latest results of Real Oviedo

22.03.2025 Granada - Real Oviedo 1:0 ✺

14.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Elche 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Mirandés - Real Oviedo 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Deportivo La Coruña 1:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Burgos - Real Oviedo 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Málaga

22.03.2025 Málaga - Ferrol 2:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Albacete Balompié - Málaga 2:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2 ✺

21.02.2025 Málaga - Tenerife 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Elche	38	20	11	7	51:29	22	71
2	Levante	38	18	13	7	61:39	22	67
3	Racing Santander	38	19	9	10	59:44	15	66
4	R. Oviedo	38	18	11	9	51:40	11	65
5	Mirandes	38	19	8	11	51:36	15	65
6	Almeria	38	17	11	10	67:53	14	62
7	Granada CF	38	16	11	11	59:47	12	59
8	Huesca	38	16	10	12	51:39	12	58
9	Cordoba	38	14	12	12	54:53	1	54
10	Dep. La Coruna	38	13	14	11	53:44	9	53
11	Albacete	38	13	12	13	51:53	-2	51
12	Burgos CF	38	14	9	15	34:40	-6	51
13	Cadiz CF	38	12	13	13	48:49	-1	49
14	Eibar	38	12	13	13	37:39	-2	49
15	Malaga	38	11	16	11	38:40	-2	49
16	Castellon	38	13	10	15	57:56	1	49
17	Gijon	38	11	14	13	49:49	0	47
18	Zaragoza	38	11	12	15	51:56	-5	45
19	Eldense	38	10	10	18	37:56	-19	40
20	Tenerife	38	8	11	19	35:51	-16	35
21	Racing Club Ferrol	38	5	11	22	21:60	-39	26
22	FC Cartagena SAD ✔	38	5	5	28	27:69	-42	20

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Real Oviedo - Málaga?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, LaLiga TV Bar 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+