Elche vs Real Oviedo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Elche - Real Oviedo
Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 5
  • Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)
Elche - Real Oviedo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.10
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
90% (539/600)82% (305/371)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.520.60
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
189
Passes
90% (539/600)82% (305/371)
Long passes
50% (24/48)47% (27/57)
Passes in final third
84% (143/171)68% (68/100)
Crosses
20% (3/15)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.31
Throw-ins
1324
Fouls
918
Tackles
72% (13/18)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.601.52
Goals prevented
0.600.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Andre Silva ,
  • 37', Bigas P. 🟨,
  • 38', Affengruber D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Brekalo J. , Chaira I. ,
  • 58', Hassan H. , Cazorla S. ,
  • 59', Dendoncker L. 🟨,
  • 65', Vidal N. , Ahijado L. ,
  • 66', Rondon S. 🟨,
  • 71', Sibo K. , Reina A. ,
  • 71', Ilic L. , Fores A. ,
  • 72', Neto M. , Diangana G. ,
  • 72', Valera G. , Petrot L. ,
  • 78', Josan , Fort H. ,
  • 87', Mir R. , Diaby B. ,
  • 87', Mendoza R. , Aguado M. ,

Chances of winning


Elche
51.9%
Draw
28.6%
Real Oviedo
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 29.1% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 28.9% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Elche - Real Oviedo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.99)
    3.5
    (3.27)
    5.25
    (4.11)
    0.3%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Elche - Real Oviedo?
  • Users Predictions: Elche will win (44 of 54 users predict this - 81.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.12%91.84%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elche will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 2.
    • In recent matches, Elche has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Oviedo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Elche is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Elche: Rodriguez A. (Knee Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Costas D. (Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury) Vinas F. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Elche: Pedrosa A. (Finger Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Elche won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Real Oviedo were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Elche 1:1
    24.11.2024 Elche - Real Oviedo 4:0
    05.04.2024 Elche - Real Oviedo 0:2
    15.12.2023 Real Oviedo - Elche 3:2
    Latest results of Elche
    12.09.2025 Sevilla - Elche 2:2
    04.09.2025 Real Murcia - Elche 3:1
    29.08.2025 Elche - Levante 2:0
    23.08.2025 Atlético Madrid - Elche 1:1
    18.08.2025 Elche - Betis 1:1
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    13.09.2025 Getafe - Real Oviedo 2:0
    24.08.2025 Real Oviedo - Real Madrid 0:3
    15.08.2025 Villarreal - Real Oviedo 2:0
    09.08.2025 Leganés - Real Oviedo 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid550010:2815
    2Barcelona541016:31313
    3Villarreal531110:4610
    4Espanyol53118:7110
    5Elche52307:439
    6Betis62319:729
    7Ath Bilbao53026:609
    8Getafe53026:7-19
    9Sevilla52129:817
    10Alaves52125:507
    11Valencia52126:8-27
    12Atl. Madrid51316:516
    13Osasuna52034:406
    14Rayo Vallecano51225:6-15
    15Celta Vigo60515:7-25
    16Levante51139:904
    17R. Oviedo51041:8-73
    18Real Sociedad50235:9-42
    19Mallorca50235:10-52
    20Girona50142:15-131

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Elche - Real Oviedo?
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