Result
1:2
03/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Pacena - Round 8
- Referee: Salazar H. (Bol)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (390/470) | 67% (132/197) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (390/470) | 67% (132/197) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (111/159) | 54% (39/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Lencinas J. 🟨,
- 39', Gustavo Oliveira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 0 - 1, Vaca L. ⚽, Fernandez D. (A),
- 60', Orihuela R. 🟨,
- 68', Mejia F. ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 71', Jara A. 🟨,
- 74', 0 - 2, Gustavo Oliveira (Pen),
- 81', 1 - 2, Cuellar G. ⚽, Cuellar J. (A),
- 88', Ribera C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Vallejos Y. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ali Gutierrez J. D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Cano E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universitario de Vinto
45.8% | Draw
31.8% | Real Oruro
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Vinto's form might have worsened.Real Oruro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.63) |
2.89 ↓
(3.6) |
4.09 ↓
(4.75) |
8.9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Real Oruro will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Uni de Vinto (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Uni de Vinto (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Uni de Vinto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Real Oruro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Uni de Vinto is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Real Oruro?
Universitario de Vinto has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Oruro won against Universitario de Vinto?
Real Oruro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro were as follows:
22.09.2025
Universitario de Vinto
-
Real Oruro
2:2
05.05.2025
Real Oruro
-
Universitario de Vinto
2:0
Latest results of Universitario de Vinto
Latest results of Real Oruro
Which TV channels are streaming of Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
