Real Monarchs vs St. Louis City 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zions Bank Stadium (Herriman, UT).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.85	4.28
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
13	19
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
2	8
Corner Kicks
3	8
Passes
80% (339/423)	78% (295/376)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85	4.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.42	2.14
Total shots
13	19
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
6	10
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
11	17
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	8
Corner Kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
24	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
4	16
Passes
80% (339/423)	78% (295/376)
Long passes
60% (37/62)	51% (32/63)
Passes in final third
70% (75/107)	63% (65/104)
Crosses
13% (1/8)	32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	1.97
Throw-ins
20	28
Fouls
16	4
Tackles
67% (10/15)	59% (13/22)
Duels won
42	50
Clearances
21	16
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
2	2
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
2.14	1.42
Goals prevented
-0.86	0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, McSorley B. ⚽, Joyner M. (A), Jaaskelainen E. (A2)
30', 1 - 1, Barea J. ⚽, Piol A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Perez M. 🟨,
58', Zalinsky J. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
62', Brook L. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
62', Piol A. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
72', Joyner M. ↓, Kidd M. ↑,
76', Marquez O. ↓, O'Gara L. ↑,
76', Mesalles R. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Jaaskelainen E. ⚽, Pearce T. (A),
82', 1 - 3, Kidd M. ⚽, McSorley B. (A),
85', Moisa L. ↓, Riquelme A. ↑,
90', Perez M. ↓, Jaeger K. ↑,
90', Jaaskelainen E. ↓, Clark E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Real Monarchs
41.2%

Draw
26%

St. Louis City 2
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

25.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.

St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Louis City 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+5%)

Real Monarchs - St. Louis City 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	2.76 ↑ (2.3)	10.3% (11.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Real Monarchs is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
St. Louis City 2 is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
St. Louis City 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, St. Louis City 2 has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:12. (average 0.3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against St. Louis City 2?

Real Monarchs has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City 2 won against Real Monarchs?

St. Louis City 2 has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:

19.04.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Real Monarchs 2:0

06.08.2023 St. Louis City 2 - Real Monarchs 4:0

18.06.2023 Real Monarchs - St. Louis City 2 1:4

Latest results of Real Monarchs

29.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Real Monarchs 2:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Houston Dynamo 2 2:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

01.06.2025 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 4:3 ✺

28.05.2025 Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 4:1 ✺

Latest results of St. Louis City 2

28.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 1:0 ✺

22.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - The Town 3:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - St. Louis City 2 2:3 ✺

04.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 2:0 ✺

23.05.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Portland Timbers 2 6:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	24	15	2	2	5	61:50	51
2	Philadelphia Union II	24	11	5	3	5	50:27	46
3	New England Revolution II	23	11	5	2	5	43:29	45
4	Chicago Fire II	23	11	4	2	6	56:39	43
5	Toronto FC II	24	10	1	4	9	31:36	36
6	New York City II	24	8	2	4	10	44:49	32
7	Cincinnati 2	23	5	7	0	11	26:33	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	24	5	1	3	15	33:54	20

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	24	11	4	2	7	46:28	43
2	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
3	Orlando City B	24	9	2	2	11	33:46	33
4	Carolina Core	24	7	4	4	9	35:36	33
5	Atlanta United 2	23	7	2	6	8	35:35	31
6	Crown Legacy	25	6	3	5	11	42:49	29
7	Inter Miami II	24	6	0	4	14	35:61	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	23	12	4	2	5	51:29	46
2	Real Monarchs	24	9	4	4	7	42:37	39
3	Ventura County	24	10	2	4	8	45:42	38
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	24	10	3	1	10	54:45	37
5	Los Angeles FC II	24	9	2	1	12	40:48	32
6	Portland Timbers 2	24	7	2	4	11	37:46	29
7	Tacoma Defiance	23	7	2	2	12	52:59	27

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	24	16	3	1	4	55:32	55
2	Colorado Rapids 2	24	13	1	4	6	48:36	45
3	Minnesota 2	24	10	2	3	9	38:37	37
4	North Texas	24	9	4	1	10	37:48	36
5	Austin FC II	24	8	3	5	8	29:30	35
6	Houston Dynamo 2	24	7	4	2	11	34:39	31
7	Sporting Kansas City II	24	3	1	3	17	25:59	14

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	24	15	2	2	5	61:50	51
2	Philadelphia Union II	24	11	5	3	5	50:27	46
3	New England Revolution II	23	11	5	2	5	43:29	45
4	Huntsville	24	11	4	2	7	46:28	43
5	Chicago Fire II	23	11	4	2	6	56:39	43
6	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
7	Toronto FC II	24	10	1	4	9	31:36	36
8	Orlando City B	24	9	2	2	11	33:46	33
9	Carolina Core	24	7	4	4	9	35:36	33
10	New York City II	24	8	2	4	10	44:49	32
11	Atlanta United 2	23	7	2	6	8	35:35	31
12	Crown Legacy	25	6	3	5	11	42:49	29
13	Cincinnati 2	23	5	7	0	11	26:33	29
14	Inter Miami II	24	6	0	4	14	35:61	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	24	5	1	3	15	33:54	20

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	24	16	3	1	4	55:32	55
2	Town FC	23	12	4	2	5	51:29	46
3	Colorado Rapids 2	24	13	1	4	6	48:36	45
4	Real Monarchs	24	9	4	4	7	42:37	39
5	Ventura County	24	10	2	4	8	45:42	38
6	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	24	10	3	1	10	54:45	37
7	Minnesota 2	24	10	2	3	9	38:37	37
8	North Texas	24	9	4	1	10	37:48	36
9	Austin FC II	24	8	3	5	8	29:30	35
10	Los Angeles FC II	24	9	2	1	12	40:48	32
11	Houston Dynamo 2	24	7	4	2	11	34:39	31
12	Portland Timbers 2	24	7	2	4	11	37:46	29
13	Tacoma Defiance	23	7	2	2	12	52:59	27
14	Sporting Kansas City II	24	3	1	3	17	25:59	14

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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