Real Madrid vs Valencia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Real Madrid - Valencia
Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Additional information

  • : LaLiga - Round 30
  • Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)
Real Madrid - Valencia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.700.81
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
91% (564/621)77% (260/338)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
3.700.81
xG on target (xGOT)
3.280.59
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4616
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
91% (564/621)77% (260/338)
Long passes
78% (36/46)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
86% (190/221)69% (69/100)
Crosses
23% (6/26)71% (5/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.710.96
Fouls
1013
Tackles
59% (13/22)72% (13/18)
Duels won
6147
Clearances Total
731
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.593.28
Goals prevented
-1.412.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Tarrega C. 🟨,
  • 13', Vinicius Junior (Pen),
  • 15', 0 - 1, Diakhaby M. ⚽, Almeida A. (A),
  • 22', Ancelotti C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sadiq U. 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
  • 57', Diaz B. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
  • 59', Sadiq U. ↓, Mir R. ↑,
  • 74', Guerra J. ↓, Pepelu ↑,
  • 74', Almeida A. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
  • 74', Aarons M. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
  • 77', Modric L. ↓, Endrick ↑,
  • 77', Vinicius Junior ↓, Alaba D. ↑,
  • 77', Garcia F. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
  • 85', Lucas ↓, Guler A. ↑,
  • 90+4', Barrenechea E. ↓, Guillamon H. ↑,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Duro H. ⚽, Mir R. (A),
  • 90+8', Aarons M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bddjdjwp

Chances of winning


Real Madrid 74.7%Draw 15.5%Valencia 9.8%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Real Madrid 71.3%Draw 17.3%Valencia 11.4%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Real Madrid 72.2%Draw 17.1%Valencia 11.3%

Real Madrid - Valencia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.29 ↓
(1.35)		 6.25 ↑
(5.57)		 10.01 ↑
(8.42)		 3.5%
(4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
    •
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Valencia?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 3.
    • Real is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Valencia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Valencia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Real is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Courtois T. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Valencia: Correia T. (Knee Injury) Foulquier D. (Yellow Cards) Gaya J. (Yellow Cards) Rioja L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Real: Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Valencia: Ivan Jaime (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Real won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 44:24 (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:8 (average 2.7:0.8).
    How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Valencia?
    Real Madrid has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
    How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Real Madrid?
    Valencia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Valencia were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Valencia - Real Madrid 1:2
    02.03.2024 Valencia - Real Madrid 2:2
    11.11.2023 Real Madrid - Valencia 5:1
    21.05.2023 Valencia - Real Madrid 1:0
    02.02.2023 Real Madrid - Valencia 2:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    01.04.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:4 ✺
    29.03.2025 Real Madrid - Leganés 3:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Villarreal - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    12.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Valencia
    30.03.2025 Valencia - Mallorca 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Girona - Valencia 1:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Valencia - Valladolid 2:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Osasuna - Valencia 3:3 ✺
    22.02.2025 Valencia - Atlético Madrid 0:3 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona30214583:295467
    2Real Madrid30196563:313263
    3Atl. Madrid30179449:242560
    4Ath Bilbao301412446:242254
    5Villarreal29139751:391248
    6Betis30139841:37448
    7Celta Vigo301271144:43143
    8Real Sociedad301251330:32-241
    9Rayo Vallecano3010101033:35-240
    10Mallorca301171229:37-840
    11Getafe301091130:25539
    12Sevilla30991234:41-736
    13Girona30971437:46-934
    14Osasuna29713933:42-934
    15Valencia308101234:47-1334
    16Espanyol29881331:40-932
    17Alaves30791433:44-1130
    18Leganes29691428:46-1827
    19Las Palmas30681634:51-1726
    20Valladolid30442219:69-5016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Valencia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1, SuperSport 1
    angolaAngolaZ Sport La Liga
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    cubaCubaTele Rebelde
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
    israelIsraelONE Sport
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
    swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
    taiwanTaiwanDAZN
    tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
    uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamSCTV 22, SCTV Online
    worldWorldDisney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia
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