Real Madrid vs Valencia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Real Madrid - Valencia
Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 30
  • Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)
Real Madrid - Valencia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.700.81
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
91% (564/621)77% (260/338)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
3.700.81
xG on target (xGOT)
3.280.59
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4616
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
91% (564/621)77% (260/338)
Long passes
78% (36/46)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
86% (190/221)69% (69/100)
Crosses
23% (6/26)71% (5/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.710.96
Fouls
1013
Tackles
59% (13/22)72% (13/18)
Duels won
6147
Clearances Total
731
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.593.28
Goals prevented
-1.412.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Tarrega C. 🟨,
  • 13', Vinicius Junior (Pen),
  • 15', 0 - 1, Diakhaby M. , Almeida A. (A),
  • 22', Ancelotti C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sadiq U. 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior , Bellingham J. (A),
  • 57', Diaz B. , Rodrygo ,
  • 59', Sadiq U. , Mir R. ,
  • 74', Guerra J. , Pepelu ,
  • 74', Almeida A. , Perez F. ,
  • 74', Aarons M. , Duro H. ,
  • 77', Modric L. , Endrick ,
  • 77', Vinicius Junior , Alaba D. ,
  • 77', Garcia F. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 85', Lucas , Guler A. ,
  • 90+4', Barrenechea E. , Guillamon H. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Duro H. , Mir R. (A),
  • 90+8', Aarons M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bddjdjwp

Chances of winning


Real Madrid 74.7%Draw 15.5%Valencia 9.8%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Real Madrid 71.3%Draw 17.3%Valencia 11.4%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Real Madrid 72.2%Draw 17.1%Valencia 11.3%

Real Madrid - Valencia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.29
(1.35)
6.25
(5.57)
10.01
(8.42)
3.5%
(4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Valencia?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 3.
    • Real is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Valencia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Valencia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Real is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Courtois T. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Valencia: Correia T. (Knee Injury) Foulquier D. (Yellow Cards) Gaya J. (Yellow Cards) Rioja L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Real: Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Valencia: Ivan Jaime (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Real won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 44:24 (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:8 (average 2.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Valencia were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Valencia - Real Madrid 1:2
    02.03.2024 Valencia - Real Madrid 2:2
    11.11.2023 Real Madrid - Valencia 5:1
    21.05.2023 Valencia - Real Madrid 1:0
    02.02.2023 Real Madrid - Valencia 2:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Latest results of Valencia
    30.03.2025 Valencia - Mallorca 1:0
    15.03.2025 Girona - Valencia 1:1
    08.03.2025 Valencia - Valladolid 2:1
    02.03.2025 Osasuna - Valencia 3:3
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 33244589:325776
    2Real Madrid ✔ 33226566:313572
    3Atl. Madrid33199556:272966
    4Ath Bilbao331612550:262460
    5Betis33159950:41954
    6Villarreal321410855:451052
    7Celta Vigo331371350:49146
    8Osasuna331014940:46-644
    9Mallorca331281331:38-744
    10Real Sociedad331261532:37-542
    11Rayo Vallecano3310111235:42-741
    12Getafe331091431:30139
    13Espanyol321091335:41-639
    14Valencia339121237:49-1239
    15Sevilla339101435:44-937
    16Girona33981640:52-1235
    17Alaves338101535:46-1134
    18Las Palmas33881738:53-1532
    19Leganes336121530:49-1930
    20Valladolid ✔ 33442524:81-5716

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Valencia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1, SuperSport 1
    angolaAngolaZ Sport La Liga
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    cubaCubaTele Rebelde
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
    israelIsraelONE Sport
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
    swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
    taiwanTaiwanDAZN
    tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
    uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamSCTV 22, SCTV Online
    worldWorldDisney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia
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