Sevilla vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla).

: LaLiga - Round 37

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.55	2.07
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
6	16
Shots on target
1	6
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
1	7
Passes
81% (281/346)	91% (518/571)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55	2.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.67	1.67
Total shots
6	16
Shots on target
1	6
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
3	6
Shots outside the Box
3	10
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
6	35
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
9	7
Passes
81% (281/346)	91% (518/571)
Long passes
37% (19/52)	70% (21/30)
Passes in final third
66% (61/93)	87% (252/289)
Crosses
50% (2/4)	6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	1.71
Throw-ins
10	14
Fouls
7	9
Tackles
94% (15/16)	41% (7/17)
Duels won
35	39
Clearances
21	11
Interceptions
13	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
1.67	0.67
Goals prevented
-0.33	0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Bade L. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lukebakio D. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
46', Romero I. 🟥,
52', Pascual A. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
58', Endrick ↓, Munoz V. ↑,
66', Bellingham J. 🟨,
66', Vallejo J. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Modric L. (A),
77', Guler A. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
77', Garcia F. ↓, Lucas ↑,
78', Suso ↓, Peque ↑,
78', Sanchez J. ↓, Lokonga A. S. ↑,
82', Sow D. ↓, Bueno M. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Bellingham J. ⚽, Garcia G. (A),

Chances of winning

Sevilla
29.2%

Draw
25.6%

Real Madrid
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

23.2%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

23.2%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sevilla's performance.

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sevilla - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (4.35)	3.77 ↓ (4.15)	2.11 ↑ (1.76)	3.8% (3.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Sevilla - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 22 - 40.7%). Real will win (votes: 25 - 46.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 33% – 59.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Real (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.5 - Sevilla (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Real is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Real is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sevilla: Adams A. (Thigh Injury) Hormigo D. (Injury) Nianzou T. (Thigh Injury) Vargas R. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Asencio R. (Muscle Injury) Camavinga E. (Groin Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Diaz B. (Thigh Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Thigh Injury) Rudiger A. (Suspended) Vinicius Junior (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 25:45. (average 1.3:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Sevilla won against Real Madrid?

Sevilla has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Sevilla?

Real Madrid has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sevilla - Real Madrid were as follows:

22.12.2024 Real Madrid - Sevilla 4:2

25.02.2024 Real Madrid - Sevilla 1:0

21.10.2023 Sevilla - Real Madrid 1:1

27.05.2023 Sevilla - Real Madrid 1:2

22.10.2022 Real Madrid - Sevilla 3:1

Latest results of Sevilla

13.05.2025 Sevilla - Las Palmas 1:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Celta de Vigo - Sevilla 3:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Sevilla - Leganés 2:2 ✺

24.04.2025 Osasuna - Sevilla 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

14.05.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 4:3 ✺

04.05.2025 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 3:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 3:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Sevilla - Real Madrid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, Supersport WWE, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4, SuperSport WWE
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar 3, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online