Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Real Sociedad - Real Madrid
Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 4
  • Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
Real Sociedad - Real Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.751.98
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2316
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
86% (447/522)77% (241/314)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.751.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.252.11
Total shots
2316
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
123
Shots inside the Box
1514
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
3628
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
517
Passes
86% (447/522)77% (241/314)
Long passes
43% (15/35)49% (37/75)
Passes in final third
79% (143/181)70% (69/98)
Crosses
32% (13/41)63% (5/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.851.43
Throw-ins
1611
Fouls
177
Tackles
54% (7/13)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3759
Clearances
1036
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.111.25
Goals prevented
0.110.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', Zubeldia I. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. ,
  • 32', Huijsen D. 🟥,
  • 34', Alonso X. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 2, Guler A. , Mbappe K. (A),
  • 45+1', Barrenetxea A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Diaz B. , Valverde F. ,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Oyarzabal M. (Pen),
  • 57', Elustondo A. , Aramburu J. ,
  • 57', Goti Lopez M. , Soler C. ,
  • 63', Mbappe K. 🟨,
  • 66', Marin P. , Kubo T. ,
  • 66', Guedes G. , Zakharyan A. ,
  • 68', Vinicius Junior , Garcia F. ,
  • 68', Ceballos D. , Asencio R. ,
  • 78', Gorrotxategi J. , Karrikaburu J. ,
  • 82', Carvajal D. , Alexander-Arnold T. ,
  • 88', Guler A. , Alaba D. ,

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
15.1%
Draw
21.7%
Real Madrid
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 24% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid's recent form is better than expected.
  • Real Sociedad - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.68
    (5.27)
    4.57
    (3.97)
    1.54
    (1.65)
    1.7%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Real Madrid?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Real (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (62 of 66 users predict this - 93.94%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 88.18%99.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 1.
    • In recent matches, Real Sociedad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Recently, Real Sociedad has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Real is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Herrera Y. (Hamstring Injury) Oskarsson O. (Thigh Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Shoulder Injury) Camavinga E. (Ankle Injury) Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:39. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Real Madrid were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:0
    01.04.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:4
    26.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1
    14.09.2024 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:2
    26.04.2024 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid44008:2612
    2Barcelona431013:31010
    3Espanyol43108:5310
    4Betis62319:729
    5Ath Bilbao43016:429
    6Getafe43016:429
    7Villarreal42118:357
    8Alaves42114:317
    9Elche41306:426
    10Osasuna42023:216
    11Atl. Madrid41215:415
    12Sevilla41127:704
    13Rayo Vallecano41124:5-14
    14Celta Vigo50414:6-24
    15Valencia41124:8-44
    16R. Oviedo41031:7-63
    17Real Sociedad50235:9-42
    18Levante40135:9-41
    19Mallorca40134:9-51
    20Girona40132:11-91

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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