Result
1:2
16/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Champions League Women - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Pachtova M. (Cze)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/399) | 84% (444/529) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/399) | 84% (444/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (26/53) | 43% (21/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (66/99) | 72% (91/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.99 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', Lakrar M. 🟨,
- 16', Frohms M. ↓, Misa ↑,
- 29', 0 - 1, Feller N. ⚽, Yasmim (A),
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Redondo A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 1 - 2, Ajibade R. ⚽, Karchaoui S. (A),
- 62', Caicedo L. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
- 62', Redondo A. ↓, Dabritz S. ↑,
- 68', Ajibade R. 🟨,
- 74', Feller N. 🟨,
- 76', Feller N. ↓, Santiago I. ↑,
- 77', Elimbi T. ↓, Graziani O. ↑,
- 81', Echegini J. ↓, Jourde F. ↑,
- 90+1', Kanjinga M. ↓, Leuchter R. ↑,
- 90+1', Diakite T. ↓, Groenen J. ↑,
- 90+8', Yasmim 🟨,
- 90+8', De Almeida E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paris Saint-Germain
31.6% | Draw
24.3% | Real Madrid
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris Saint-Germain that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↓
(3.57) |
3.83 ↑
(3.76) |
2.13 ↑
(1.88) |
7.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by PSG have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Real Madrid is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Real Madrid?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Real Madrid has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid were as follows:
16.12.2022
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Real Madrid
2:1
26.10.2022
Real Madrid
-
Paris Saint-Germain
0:0
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
Latest results of Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League Women Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barcelona W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Madrid W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Lyon W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Manchester Utd W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Chelsea W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Leuven W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Atl. Madrid W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Arsenal W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Juventus W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Bayern Munich W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | Twente W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Paris FC W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 | Valerenga W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | SL Benfica W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | PSG W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 17 | AS Roma W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:10 | -8 | 0 |
| 18 | St. Polten W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:9 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
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 Estonia | Disney+ |
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 Turkey | Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | Disney+ |
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 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
