Real Madrid vs Pachuca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA Club World Cup
Soccer FIFA Club World Cup Real Madrid - Pachuca
Result
3:1
22/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FIFA Club World Cup - Round 2
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
Real Madrid - Pachuca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.54
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
825
Shots on target
311
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
90% (534/591)88% (379/430)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.802.68
Total shots
825
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
215
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
168
Passes
90% (534/591)88% (379/430)
Long passes
64% (29/45)58% (21/36)
Passes in final third
84% (90/107)75% (95/126)
Crosses
0% (0/8)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.75
Throw-ins
1011
Fouls
816
Tackles
57% (8/14)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4429
Clearances
197
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
100
xGOT faced
2.681.80
Goals prevented
1.68-1.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', Asencio R. 🟥,
  • 18', Palavecino A. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Bellingham J. ⚽, Garcia F. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 0, Guler A. ⚽, Garcia G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Garcia G. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 46', Bautista A. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
  • 46', Dominguez A. ↓, Cabral G. ↑,
  • 60', Guler A. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
  • 60', Bellingham J. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
  • 60', Kenedy ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
  • 60', Rodriguez L. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
  • 70', 3 - 0, Valverde F. ⚽, Diaz B. (A),
  • 72', Palavecino A. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
  • 78', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Rudiger A. ↑,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Montiel E. ⚽, Lopez J. (A),
  • 87', Vinicius Junior ↓, Munoz V. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
75.4%		Draw
15.3%		Pachuca
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
81% 13.2% 5.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid's form might have worsened.
  • Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Pachuca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.29 ↑
    (1.18)    		 6.23 ↓
    (7.23)    		 10.52 ↓
    (16.25)    		 3.1%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Pachuca?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 68 - 93.2%). Pachuca will win (votes: 2 - 2.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 87.4% – 99%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Real is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pachuca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Camavinga E. (Groin Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mbappe K. (Illness) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Pachuca were as follows:
    18.12.2024 Real Madrid - Pachuca 3:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    18.06.2025 Real Madrid - Al-Hilal 1:1 ✺
    24.05.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:0 ✺
    18.05.2025 Sevilla - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺
    14.05.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1 ✺
    11.05.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 4:3 ✺
    Latest results of Pachuca
    18.06.2025 Pachuca - Red Bull Salzburg 1:2 ✺
    08.06.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Pachuca 1:1
    10.05.2025 Club América - Pachuca 2:0 ✺
    07.05.2025 Pachuca - Club América 0:0
    27.04.2025 Monterrey - Pachuca 1:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)
    3PSG (B1)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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