Real Madrid vs Olympique Marseille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille
Result
2:1
16/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)
Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.650.73
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
2815
Shots on target
155
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
86% (344/402)87% (455/524)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
3.650.73
xG on target (xGOT)
3.610.46
Total shots
2815
Shots on target
155
Shots off target
88
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
2010
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4929
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
149
Passes
86% (344/402)87% (455/524)
Long passes
51% (21/41)42% (13/31)
Passes in final third
75% (115/153)75% (64/85)
Crosses
27% (3/11)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.70
Throw-ins
1511
Fouls
914
Tackles
73% (8/11)68% (15/22)
Duels won
3849
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
15
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
413
xGOT faced
0.463.61
Goals prevented
-0.541.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Alexander-Arnold T. , Carvajal D. ,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Weah T. , Greenwood M. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 35', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pavard B. 🟨,
  • 54', Eder Militao 🟨,
  • 63', Mastantuono F. , Diaz B. ,
  • 63', Rodrygo , Vinicius Junior ,
  • 66', O'Riley M. , Paixao I. ,
  • 66', Kondogbia G. , Vermeeren A. ,
  • 72', Carvajal D. 🟥,
  • 74', Guler A. , Asencio R. ,
  • 75', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 78', Emerson , Murillo M. ,
  • 78', Weah T. , Gouiri A. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 87', Pavard B. , Egan-Riley C. ,
  • 90+7', Carreras A. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
68.3%
Draw
18.8%
Olympique Marseille
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.8% 17.3% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.36)
    5.07
    (5.57)
    7.44
    (8.04)
    4.4%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 61 - 85.9%). Marseille will win (votes: 5 - 7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 77.8%94%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH -1.5 - Real (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Real has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Head Injury) Blanco R. (Inactive) Lirola P. (Inactive) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury)
    • We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    30.08.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    24.08.2025 Real Oviedo - Real Madrid 0:3
    19.08.2025 Real Madrid - Osasuna 1:0
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Meraj TV
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
    belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
    europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Ultra
    franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free, New World TV
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
    hungaryHungaryRTL+
    indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
    irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
    japanJapanWowow Prime
    kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 1, Sooka
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport 5
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Ultra
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, Virgin TV Go app
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    worldWorldSport 24
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan