Real Madrid vs Manchester City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid).

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	1.38
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Goal Attempts
15	12
Shots on Goal
8	4
Shots off Goal
3	3
Blocked Shots
4	5
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	5
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
5	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
Free Kicks
9	9
Offsides
0	1
Fouls
9	9
Yellow Cards
1	2
Throw-ins
10	13
Touches in the Opposition Box
25	24
Passes
88% (437/494)	91% (481/528)
Passes in the final third
77% (77/100)	85% (153/181)
Crosses
33% (3/9)	11% (1/9)
Tackles
60% (9/15)	67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
13	14
Interceptions
10	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Asencio R. (A),
8', Stones J. ↓, Ake N. ↑,
28', Gundogan I. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Rodrygo (A),
38', Bellingham J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Nico 🟨,
61', 3 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
77', Foden P. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
77', Gundogan I. ↓, Kovacic M. ↑,
78', Ceballos D. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
78', Mbappe K. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
83', Tchouameni A. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
90', Valverde F. ↓, Alaba D. ↑,
90', Vinicius Junior ↓, Endrick ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Nico ⚽, Marmoush O. (A),

Chances of winning

Real Madrid
51.9%

Draw
22.4%

Manchester City
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

21.4%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

21%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+1%)

Real Madrid - Manchester City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.88)	4.31 ↓ (4.49)	3.79 ↑ (3.53)	3.5% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)

What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Manchester City?

Users Predictions: 111 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 67 - 60.4%). Man City will win (votes: 22 - 19.8%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 19.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 51.3% – 69.5%. The data is statistically significant.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-2.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Real have a series of guest games.
Real will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Man City: Akanji M. (Muscle Injury) Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Vitor Reis (Inactive)
There are questionable in Real: Lucas (Thigh Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Real won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:28 (average 1.8:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Real won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Manchester City?

Real Madrid has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Real Madrid?

Manchester City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Manchester City were as follows:

11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3

17.04.2024 Manchester City - Real Madrid 1:2

09.04.2024 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:3

17.05.2023 Manchester City - Real Madrid 4:0

09.05.2023 Real Madrid - Manchester City 1:1

Latest results of Real Madrid

15.02.2025 Osasuna - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺

11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺

08.02.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

05.02.2025 Leganés - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺

01.02.2025 Espanyol - Real Madrid 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Manchester City

15.02.2025 Manchester City - Newcastle United 4:0 ✺

11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺

08.02.2025 Leyton Orient - Manchester City 1:2 ✺

02.02.2025 Arsenal - Manchester City 5:1 ✺

29.01.2025 Manchester City - Club Brugge 3:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
2	Ludogorets	Din. Minsk	2 : 2, 1 : 0
3	Noah	Buducnost	2 : 2, 1 : 0
4	Bye	Ferencvaros
5	TNS	Shkendija	1 : 2, 0 : 0
6	FCSB	Inter Escaldes	1 : 2, 3 : 1
7	Shelbourne	Linfield	1 : 1, 1 : 0
8	Bye	Qarabag
9	Lech Poznan	Bye
10	Egnatia	Breidablik	0 : 5, 1 : 0
11	Vikingur	Lincoln Red Imps	0 : 1, 2 : 3
12	Bye	Crvena zvezda
13	Zalgiris	Hamrun	0 : 3, 2 : 0
14	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
15	Pafos	Bye
16	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
17	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
24	Bye	Sturm Graz
25	Celtic	Bye
29	KuPS	Milsami	0 : 0, 1 : 0
30	O. Ljubljana	Kairat Almaty	0 : 2, 1 : 1
31	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
32	Virtus	Zrinjski	1 : 2, 0 : 2
33	Basel	Bye
37	Levadia	RFS	0 : 1, 0 : 1
38	Iberia 1999	Malmo FF	1 : 3, 1 : 3
39	FC Copenhagen	Bye
40	Drita	Differdange	3 : 2, 1 : 0
41	Feyenoord	Bye
44	Bye	Fenerbahce
45	Nice	Bye
48	Bye	Benfica
49	Rangers	Bye
50	Bye	Panathinaikos
51	Plzen	Bye
52	Bye	Servette
53	Brann	Bye
54	Bye	Salzburg
56	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Quarter-finals

1	Rijeka	Ludogorets	1 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Noah	Ferencvaros	3 : 4, 1 : 2
3	Shkendija	FCSB	2 : 1, 1 : 0
4	Shelbourne	Qarabag	0 : 1, 0 : 3
5	Lech Poznan	Breidablik	1 : 0, 7 : 1
6	Lincoln Red Imps	Crvena zvezda	1 : 5, 0 : 1
7	Hamrun	Dyn. Kyiv	0 : 3, 0 : 3
8	Pafos	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 0, 1 : 1
9	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
12	Bye	Sturm Graz
13	Celtic	Bye
15	KuPS	Kairat Almaty	0 : 3, 2 : 0
16	Slovan Bratislava	Zrinjski	2 : 2, 4 : 0
17	Basel	Bye
19	RFS	Malmo FF	0 : 1, 1 : 4
20	FC Copenhagen	Drita	1 : 0, 2 : 0
21	Feyenoord	Bye
22	Bye	Fenerbahce
23	Nice	Bye
24	Bye	Benfica
25	Rangers	Panathinaikos	1 : 1, 2 : 0
26	Plzen	Servette	3 : 1, 0 : 1
27	Brann	Salzburg	1 : 1, 1 : 4
28	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Semi-finals

1	Ludogorets	Ferencvaros	0 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Shkendija	Qarabag	1 : 5, 0 : 1
3	Lech Poznan	Crvena zvezda	1 : 1, 1 : 3
4	Dyn. Kyiv	Pafos	0 : 2, 0 : 1
5	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
6	Bye	Sturm Graz
7	Celtic	Bye
8	Kairat Almaty	Slovan Bratislava	1 : 1, 1 : 0
9	Basel	Bye
10	Malmo FF	FC Copenhagen	0 : 5, 0 : 0
11	Feyenoord	Fenerbahce	2 : 5, 2 : 1
12	Nice	Benfica	0 : 2, 0 : 2
13	Rangers	Plzen	1 : 2, 3 : 0
14	Salzburg	Club Brugge KV	2 : 3, 0 : 1

Final

1	Ferencvaros	Qarabag	1 : 3
2	Crvena zvezda	Pafos	1 : 1, 1 : 2
3	Bodo/Glimt	Sturm Graz	1 : 2, 5 : 0
4	Celtic	Kairat Almaty	0 : 1, 0 : 0
5	Basel	FC Copenhagen	1 : 1
6	Fenerbahce	Benfica	0 : 0
7	Rangers	Club Brugge KV	1 : 3

Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Manchester City?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Arezo TV, Asr TV, Meraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh TV
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
Japan	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	RTK 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport PSL
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+