Real Madrid vs Manchester City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Manchester City
Result
3:1
19/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
Real Madrid - Manchester City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.38
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
1512
Shots on Goal
84
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
45
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Free Kicks
99
Offsides
01
Fouls
99
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1013
Touches in the Opposition Box
2524
Passes
88% (437/494)91% (481/528)
Passes in the final third
77% (77/100)85% (153/181)
Crosses
33% (3/9)11% (1/9)
Tackles
60% (9/15)67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
1314
Interceptions
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Asencio R. (A),
  • 8', Stones J. ↓, Ake N. ↑,
  • 28', Gundogan I. 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Rodrygo (A),
  • 38', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Nico 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
  • 77', Foden P. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
  • 77', Gundogan I. ↓, Kovacic M. ↑,
  • 78', Ceballos D. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
  • 78', Mbappe K. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 83', Tchouameni A. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
  • 90', Valverde F. ↓, Alaba D. ↑,
  • 90', Vinicius Junior ↓, Endrick ↑,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Nico ⚽, Marmoush O. (A),

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
51.9%		Draw
22.4%		Manchester City
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 21.4% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 21% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.86 ↓
    (1.88)    		 4.31 ↓
    (4.49)    		 3.79 ↑
    (3.53)    		 3.5%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)
    •
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 111 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 67 - 60.4%). Man City will win (votes: 22 - 19.8%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 19.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 51.3% – 69.5%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Real have a series of guest games.
    • Real will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Akanji M. (Muscle Injury) Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Vitor Reis (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Real: Lucas (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Real won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:28 (average 1.8:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Manchester City were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3
    17.04.2024 Manchester City - Real Madrid 1:2
    09.04.2024 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:3
    17.05.2023 Manchester City - Real Madrid 4:0
    09.05.2023 Real Madrid - Manchester City 1:1
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    15.02.2025 Osasuna - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺
    11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺
    08.02.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺
    05.02.2025 Leganés - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺
    01.02.2025 Espanyol - Real Madrid 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Manchester City
    15.02.2025 Manchester City - Newcastle United 4:0 ✺
    11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺
    08.02.2025 Leyton Orient - Manchester City 1:2 ✺
    02.02.2025 Arsenal - Manchester City 5:1 ✺
    29.01.2025 Manchester City - Club Brugge 3:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros
    2ShkendijaQarabag
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    4Dyn. KyivPafos
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce
    12NiceBenfica
    13RangersPlzen
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
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