Real Madrid vs Mallorca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Real Madrid - Mallorca
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 3
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
Real Madrid - Mallorca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.66
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
89% (481/538)79% (302/384)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.73
Total shots
179
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
101
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
4614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
610
Passes
89% (481/538)79% (302/384)
Long passes
63% (24/38)38% (29/76)
Passes in final third
85% (222/262)64% (47/74)
Crosses
7% (1/14)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.86
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
127
Tackles
62% (8/13)33% (4/12)
Duels won
3836
Clearances
1923
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.731.78
Goals prevented
-0.27-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Muriqi V. , Torre P. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Guler A. , Huijsen D. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 1, Vinicius Junior , Valverde F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Torre P. , Samu Costa ,
  • 67', Mastantuono F. , Diaz B. ,
  • 68', Huijsen D. 🟨,
  • 71', Guler A. , Ceballos D. ,
  • 72', Vinicius Junior , Rodrygo ,
  • 72', Alexander-Arnold T. , Carvajal D. ,
  • 79', Lato T. , Mojica J. ,
  • 79', Morey Bauza M. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 87', Joseph M. , Asano T. ,
  • 87', Morlanes M. , Virgili J. ,
  • 90', Eder Militao 🟨,
  • 90+5', Mbappe K. , Garcia G. ,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
83.1%
Draw
12%
Mallorca
4.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
76.5% 15.8% 7.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.
  • Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Real Madrid - Mallorca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.16
    (1.25)
    8.2
    (6.07)
    20.88
    (12.33)
    2.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Mallorca?
  • Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 55 - 91.7%). Mallorca will win (votes: 4 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 84.7%98.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 4.
    • Real is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mallorca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Mallorca has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Real is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Shoulder Injury) Camavinga E. (Ankle Injury) Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Mallorca: Salas J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Real won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:9. (average 2.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:6. (average 3.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Mallorca were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    09.01.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 3:0
    18.08.2024 Mallorca - Real Madrid 1:1
    13.04.2024 Mallorca - Real Madrid 0:1
    03.01.2024 Real Madrid - Mallorca 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Latest results of Mallorca
    23.08.2025 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:1
    16.08.2025 Mallorca - Barcelona 0:3
    09.08.2025 Mallorca - Hamburger SV 2:0
    06.08.2025 Poblense - Mallorca 0:2
    31.07.2025 Mallorca - Parma 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid33006:159
    2Ath Bilbao33006:339
    3Villarreal32108:177
    4Barcelona32107:347
    5Espanyol32105:327
    6Getafe32014:406
    7Elche31204:225
    8Betis41214:405
    9Valencia31114:224
    10Rayo Vallecano31114:314
    11Alaves31113:304
    12Sevilla31025:503
    13Osasuna31021:2-13
    14Celta Vigo40313:5-23
    15R. Oviedo31021:5-43
    16Real Sociedad30213:4-12
    17Atl. Madrid30213:4-12
    18Mallorca30122:6-41
    19Levante30033:7-40
    20Girona30031:10-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Mallorca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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