Real Madrid Castilla vs Pontevedra: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra
12/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7
Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
41%
Draw
29.7%
Pontevedra
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 30% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 31.4% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pontevedra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.03)
    3.12
    (3.05)
    3.12
    (3.66)
    8.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 3.
    • Real Madrid Castilla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pontevedra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real Madrid Castilla could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra were as follows:
    29.01.2023 Pontevedra - Real Madrid Castilla 1:1
    06.11.2022 Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Latest results of Pontevedra
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B742110:4614
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera72237:8-18
    13Lugo72234:5-18
    14Arenas Getxo72237:11-48
    15Ponferradina72148:9-17
    16Cacereno61326:8-26
    17Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    18Unionistas72056:10-46
    19Merida AD72057:14-76
    20Ourense CF70434:9-54

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+
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