Motagua vs Real España: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Honduras Liga Nacional Motagua - Real España
Result
3:2
31/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 7
Motagua - Real España - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
44
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, John Kleber ,
  • 37', Discua O. , Nunez J. ,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Melendez D. ,
  • 43', Benavidez J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Garcia D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Nunez M. , Tatum Ferrera A. K. ,
  • 46', Vuelto D. , Carter D. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Mencia Hernandez D. J. ,
  • 63', Mejia C. , Macias J. ,
  • 63', Serrano J. 🟨,
  • 63', Gomez R. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Benavidez J. ,
  • 65', Mencia Hernandez D. J. 🟨,
  • 65', 3 - 2, Melendez D. ,
  • 70', Gustavo Souza , Moya B. ,
  • 79', Cruz N. , Romero C. ,
  • 82', John Kleber , Vazquez M. ,
  • 83', Argueta C. , Sacaza G. ,
  • 83', John Kleber 🟨,
  • 87', Jean-Baptiste J. , Moreno Y. ,
  • 90+2', Carter D. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Cardozo Coitinho S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Motagua
39.5%
Draw
27.9%
Real España
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 30.8% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 30.9% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real España's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real España, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Motagua - Real España Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.18)
    3.29
    (2.99)
    2.8
    (3.42)
    9.2%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Real España may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Real España has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Real España were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Real España - Motagua 2:0
    14.05.2025 Motagua - Real España 1:0
    26.04.2025 Motagua - Real España 1:1
    22.02.2025 Real España - Motagua 2:0
    15.12.2024 Motagua - Real España 1:0
    Latest results of Motagua
    17.08.2025 Motagua - CD Marathón 3:3
    14.08.2025 Motagua - Cartagines 0:0
    09.08.2025 Olancho - Motagua 3:1
    Latest results of Real España
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marathon843118:61215
    2Olimpia742116:7914
    3Platense741215:7813
    4Olancho733113:9412
    5UPNFM732210:10011
    6Juticalpa73229:14-511
    7Real Espana831412:11110
    8Motagua731312:12010
    9Genesis62046:9-36
    10Choloma71158:22-144
    11Victoria71063:15-123

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Motagua - Real España?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    hondurasHondurasDeportes TV
    usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
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